Handicapper Kevin Gorg Breaks Down the 2018 Breeders’ Cup

Handicapper Kevin Gorg talks about the 2018 Breeders’ Cup, including which horse he likes in the $6 million Classic on Saturday, Nov. 3.

How to watch and wager at Canterbury Park

Don’t Miss the 2018 Breeders’ Cup, Simulcast Live from Canterbury Park

More Breeders’ Cup Analysis from Paddock Analyst Brian Arrigoni 

2018 Breeders’ Cup Picks and Tips from Our Paddock Analyst

The 2018 Breeders’ Cup is coming up Friday and Saturday, Nov. 2-3, and with millions being wagered during one of the biggest weekends of racing all year, it’s time to start handicapping.

With that in mind, we asked Canterbury Park Paddock Analyst Brian Arrigoni for advice about the Breeders’ Cup, what to expect, and how to structure your bets. You can watch and wager on all the action at Canterbury Park.

Canterbury Park: What gets you excited about the Breeders’ Cup?

Brian Arrigoni: Two times a year the best horses from around the country and the world come to battle it out for supremacy. The best meet early in the racing season in May during the Kentucky Derby and in the fall for Breeders’ Cup.

BC_2018_featuredThe Breeders’ Cup has quite literally been in my blood since Day 1. The day I was born Alysheba (the winner of the Kentucky Derby) and Ferdinand (the winner of the Kentucky Derby the year prior) battled nose to nose all the way to the wire in one of the classic races in Breeders’ Cup history.

There’s been a developing rivalry between the best European horses and the best American horses, while also having bragging rights on the line with East Coast and West Coast horses.

It’s also great that the location is constantly moving between East Coast and West Coast. There is so much to get excited about Breeders’ Cup it’s hard to pin it down to exactly what it is, but each owner, trainer, and horse has pointed to these races for months, oftentimes longer, and it all comes together over two days.

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CP: What’s your overall wagering plan going in?

BA: When the best come to compete, the racing analysis only gets harder.

BAThese are the best horses in the world, and almost all of them are coming in off of victories at tracks from around the country. This also makes it one of the most difficult weekends to be successful. However, it also makes it the most rewarding when you are successful because the payouts can be huge!

My wagering plan going in is to expand my action a bit. I have a little bigger bankroll and I will play slightly more aggressively than usual. This is not a weekend to shy away, this is a weekend to go in confident and swing for the fences. “When the going gets tough, the tough get going.”

I will continue to focus on pick 4’s and pick 5’s as always. However, with the massive fields I will also try and play individual races as well. I enjoy keying a horse in an exacta and using 3-4 underneath, and will also mix in some rare Win, Place, Show bets on horses above 8-1 that I like in large fields, as well.

CP: Any specific horses and/or races you like?

BA: While writing this there are certainly horses I have my eyes on and are waiting to come back, but without knowing which race they are opting toward or their post position it’s very difficult to give out anything with confidence. Here are three horses I’m keeping my eye on for various reasons.

• Monomoy Girl

Racebook canterbury parkShe is a complete freak has tactical speed and can go to the lead or sit off the pace. This is a mare who truly loves to win and have seen time and time again when someone runs up on her, she will find another gear and give you everything she has to the wire.

• Newspaperofrecord (IRE)

This horse is lightly raced from Chad Brown and only debuted a few months ago at Saratoga. However, this horse is highly talented. Might be tested for class and asking a lot for a lightly raced horse, but could be monster!

• Limousine Liberal

This is a familiar face many have heard of.

The late running sprinter has a tendency to settle for less. However, if you want to see a race that’s much better than it looks on paper watch the Phoenix Stakes at Keeneland. It’s rare I judge jockey decision-making, but Jose Ortiz likely should have refunded all bets on Limousine Liberal that day for what he did in a four-horse field. Go watch for yourself: Keeneland Oct. 5, 2018, Race 8.

CP: How should people approach their betting structures?

BA: I’m going to play the same as I always do, key my pick 4’s and pick 5’s around two horses I like.

However, I will also expand to include Win, Place wagers along with exactas keying a horse on top over a few I like, and then using the few I like over my keyed horse. Here are a few examples of how I may structure my tickets.

Pick 4: Pick 4:  Exacta: 1/1234
1: 12 1: 12 Exacta: 1234/1
2: 1 2: 123456
3: 12345 3: 12345
4: 123456 4: 1

 

CP: Anything else people should know?

BA: Come out early and take Friday off!

These are the best horses with the best wagering opportunities of the year, and Breeders’ Cup only comes around once a year. I would recommend doing your homework early, as these are the most competitive races you will see and it may take you more than 30 minutes to feel comfortable about the race.

Do your homework and try and watch replays to find the sneaky troubled trip that could be the key to a massive score.

 

Don’t Miss the 2018 Breeders’ Cup, Simulcast Live at Canterbury Park!

No matter if you’re a casual racing fan or a serious horseplayer, the 2018 Breeders’ Cup has something for everyone.

Set for Friday and Saturday, Nov. 2-3, the Breeders’ Cup World Championships and some of the sport’s best horses descend on Churchill Downs for a two-day racing spectacular. You can watch and wager on all the action at Canterbury Park, where the races will be simulcast live on hundreds of televisions throughout the building.Breeders Cup watch bet Canterbury

Each of the 14 Breeders’ Cup races this year features a purse over $1 million. Those perennially talented fields and big purses are part of the allure, according to handicapping expert Kevin Gorg.

“The neat thing is, you don’t need a huge bankroll to make a big bank score,” he says of the Breeders’ Cup. “You hit a trifecta or superfecta, you’re probably going to hit for thousands of dollars.”

Also, advance wagering will be available Thursday Nov. 1, at approximately noon for both Friday and Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup Cards.

Breeders’ Cup at Canterbury Park

Canterbury Park will have special hours both days of the Breeders’ Cup, as well as morning and afternoon buffet options on Saturday. Also, there are a limited number of clubhouse tables available that can be reserved for Saturday.

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Friday, Nov. 2

• Racebook opens: 9:30 a.m.
• First Breeders’ Cup race: 2:21 p.m.
• Advance wagering available for Saturday’s card

Saturday, Nov. 3

Don't Miss the 2018 Breeders' Cup, Simulcast Live at Canterbury Park! Where to watch, how to bet, Minnesota• Racebook opens: 8 a.m.
• First Breeders’ Cup race: 11 a.m.
• $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic: 4:44 p.m.
• Brunch buffet: 8 a.m. to 10:30 a.m.
• Lunch buffet: Noon to 4 p.m.

Fun of the Breeders’ Cup

The Breeders’ Cup typically draws a large gathering of horse racing fans to the Racebook, according to Jeff Maday, media relations manager at Canterbury Park.

With so much nationwide interest in the Breeders’ Cup, there’s an opportunity to win big.

“The wagering pools are just massive,” Maday said. “There’s a real chance for someone to make a life-changing score.”

Need a refresher on how to bet the horses? Visit our website for the basics.

The Breeders’ Cup is a spectacle in itself, bringing in horses from overseas and drawing celebrity fans, plus live television coverage from NBC Sports. And Canterbury Park is the best place in Minnesota to take in the festivities.

Food & Beverage Specials

Both Days

• $6.50 Famous Churchill Kentucky Hot Brown Sandwich
• Starting at 11 a.m. at the Homestretch Cafe

Friday

• Happy Hour: 4-7 p.m.
• $4 Domestic Taps, $4.50 Premium Taps, $5.50 House Wine

Saturday

• Breakfast Buffet: 8 a.m. to 10:30 a.m.
• $9.95 per person
• $4.95 Children’s Price
• Lunch Buffet: Noon to 4 p.m.
• $26.95 per person
• Including, Chef Carved Roast Beef

Race Schedule

DateRacePurseDistanceAgeTime (in CT)Learn More
Friday, November 6

Racebook opens at 9 AM
Juvenile Turf Sprint $1,000,0005 Furlongs2 year olds1:30 PMClick here
Juvenile Fillies Turf$1,000,0001 mile2 year olds2:10 PMClick here
Juvenile Fillies$2,000,0001 1/6 miles2 year olds2:50 PMClick here
Juvenile Turf$1,000,0001 mile2 year olds3:30 PMClick here
TVG Breeders' Cup Juvenile$2,000,0001 1/6 miles2 year olds4:10 PMClick here
Saturday, November 7

Racebook opens at 7:30 AM
BC Filly & Mare Sprint$1,000,0007 Furlongs3+ year olds11:02 AMClick here
BC Turf Sprint$1,000,0005 Furlongs3+ year olds11:39 AMClick here
Big Ass Fans Dirt Mile$1,000,0001 mile3+ year olds12:18 PMClick here
Maker's Mark Filly & Mare Turf$2,000,0001 1/4 miles3+ year olds12:57 PMClick here
BC Sprint$2,000,0006 Furlongs3+ year olds1:36 PMClick here
Fanduel Mile presented by PDJF$2,000,0001 mile3+ year olds2:15 PMClick here
Longines Distaff$2,000,0001 1/8 miles3+ year olds2:54 PMClick here
Longines Turf$4,000,0001 1/2 miles3+ year olds3:33 PMClick here
Longines Breeders' Cup Classic $6,000,0001 1/4 miles3+ year olds4:13 PMClick here