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RACE ANALYSIS

Thursday, July 31 ..... friday, july 25 .....saturday, july 26 ....sunday, july 27 

 

 

  
 
 
Friday, July 25th
By Angela Hermann

Race 1

#2 Justa Cartel
#6 Lil Miss Party Doll
#3 Bp Takem Away
Wagers
$1 Daily Double ($6 total)
2,3,6/4,6
$.10 Superfecta ($3.20 total)
2,6/2,3,6/All/2,3,5,6
The last time that a few of the opening race cast met, the start wiped out a couple of prime contenders. In fact, the start has been a problem for the majority of the field in recent times. That’s not to say the outcome would have been all that different had they got off cleanly….but at least they’d have been closer. Assuming everyone gets away fairly…
Justa Cartel was the favorite in a common race won by R Diva. The three inside runners all exit with a few lengths separating them, but this one took the worst of it. The Clay barn has had success with Stormy Smith this season, as he has been aboard for all of the barn’s 3 winners.  He deserves another chance.
While the top choice was wiped out by others, Lil Miss Party Doll sat still when the gate opened in her Derby Trial last time. She likes the track but the question is if she will do it again. She’s breezed out of the gate since that time and did so swiftly, so it appears whatever was bothering her that day may be solved.
While he helped make the mess for JC, that one’s stablemate Bp Takem Away fits underneath based on his record over the local surface. He is pretty consistent in the 330-350 yard range and can’t be left out of the exotics mix on that note alone.


Race 2
#6 Explosive Guns
#4 Jess Lika Blair
#5 Jess Another Reb
Wagers
$.50 Trifecta ($6 total)
6/3,4,5/All
$1 Exacta Box ($4 total)
6/4,5
The 870 races are always interesting and this one features two runners from the Miller stable. The middle of the gate knows quite a bit about each other, but the bookends are interesting due to their prices and relative unfamiliarity. The outside runner, especially, deserves another try at 870…
Explosive Guns has been facing off against classier animals this year but has tried them at shorter distances. It seems the more yardage he’s given the better, and his only “hook” race to date was better than it looked. The horses that defeated him are graded stakes types….these are not.
The key to a good race from Jess Lika Blair is getting him on the early lead. Jake Olesiak managed to do that last time after a wide journey in their first foray together, but he couldn’t hang on for more than the place spot. This distance and surface just work for him, and he can’t be left out.
A win continues to elude Jess Another Reb at Canterbury, but it’s not for lack of knocking on the door. The Pride trainee had to settle for third behind the dueling favorites last time but usually puts in an honest race and an effort worthy of a check. A win may be a tall task but use him underneath.
 

Race 3
#6 Ballistic Sue
#1 Boot N It
#5 Criminal Elegance
Wagers
$.50 Pick Four ($40.50 total)
6/All/All/2
$.50 Trifecta ($4 total)
6/1,5/All
The early pick four begins here, and many a ticket will single the morning line favorite Ballistic Sue. It makes sense based on the pace scenario likely to unfold in here but is she trustworthy even at this short distance? The thought is that her back class should carry her all the way home but upsetting her means big balloons in the pick four…
But upsetting Ballistic Sue is not going to be easy. Her strategy is simple: Get as far in front of the rest as she can and hope they can’t catch up. It’s worked many times in the past and this distance should suit her better than her first two efforts in Shakopee. Ry Eikleberry will take the reins over to try and get her to hang on.
Dickie Martinez’s Boot N It enters with her stablemate One More Palo in hopes that the cutback will bring her to life. She prefers coming from off the pace but went straight to the lead last time when tackling two turns. Only missing the board three times at the distance and at Canterbury makes her a player.
Chuck Turco entered two fillies but at least Criminal Elegance has hit the board here. Jordan Olesiak has ridden both of them in the past but opts for this daughter of Dehere….She may need some help up front but with Ballistic Sue in the mix nothing is out of the question with closers.
.


Race 4
#6 Go Go Jill
#8 A Fitzing Reward
#1 Dorn
Wagers
$.10 Superfecta Box ($12 total)
1,4,5,6,8
$1 Exacta Box ($8 total)
6/1,4,5,8
Seven of the fillies and mares in the fourth filled an exacta in their last start. They come from all over the place with such finishes though, and that’s the fun puzzle that is the fourth. None of them should be all that far apart on the board so take the exotic wagering money saved from the last race and dive in…
Go Go Jill has not missed a win or place check on this turf course in a loooong time. She can turn her hand to just about any trip placed in front of her with her tactical speed, and Lori Keith knows how to get this one to run. Her first two starts of the year would be good enough to win this.
She may still be 1-17, but A Fitzing Reward is the tepid morning line favorite off her strong string of seconds at the level. The issue is that now she’s been defeated twice in a row as the 2-1 favorite and the chances aren’t too bad that she’ll be there pricewise again. Can she make amends today?
Dorn took an interesting path to her maiden win but everything worked out in a big way last time. The Borrego filly powered away from maidens when a few tweaks were made: New distance, new surface, and new blinkers. She may not get the lone lead she did last time but she wasn’t exactly crawling around there last time – Catch her to score.


Race 5
#7 Unsaddled Glory
#2 Ragged Edge
#6 Evansville Runaway
Wagers
$1 Pick Three ($15 total)
7/2,4,5/1,3,4,7,8
$1 Exacta Box ($8 total)
7/1,2,3,6
The fifth is another contentious turf race, and the options are almost as vast as in the fourth. The problem in this spot is that there isn’t a bunch of devoted early speed in the mix. A few of the boys in the bunch have shown the speed necessary to nab the early lead in the past…
In fact, Unsaddled Glory won his only race over our grass on the front end the entire way. He put in an even fourth two back against a harder group of basically stakes horses but saw victory at this level in that wire-to-wire effort. While he doesn’t need the lead he may have needed the slight drop to this class.
Not many Minnesotans are enjoying a better summer over our grass than Ragged Edge. He and Martin Escobar have made over $100,000 on the local green and the Blairs Cove contributed to that total last time. He could not have been more impressive that day and two in a row is very much within his reach.
On the other hand, Evansville Runaway needs to find a fondness for this sod. He has a fine record over the surface elsewhere but mailed it in last time in his CBY debut. Forgive that one (he was off since November) and he’s another versatile type that could spring an upset with Quincy Hamilton at the helm.


Race 6
#2 Princeapallee
#4 Qahr
#5 Dreamin Grand
 
Wagers
$.50 Trifecta ($6 total)
2/5,6/All
$1 Exacta ($8 total)
2,4/2,4,5,7,8
There aren’t many clever ways to approach the sixth race. No one exiting the race won by Slickrock Road seemed to endure all that much trouble, so if they run the same way shouldn’t it be in relatively similar order? Or does one scrap that race altogether and find a new face entering the fray?
Princeapallee is getting better at this two turn thing race by race, and last time he was the short head runner up to Slickrock Road. He has the speed necessary to lead the field from start to finish if that’s what Stevens would like to do, but if faced with pressure the horse is happy to stalk. The price should be paltry but the chances are not.
The Bends barn has had a slow go of it thus far this summer, but they nearly pulled off their first win two back with Qahr. He took it to eventual winner Riseseastsetswest the whole way but came up a neck short. The faster pace last time no doubt took some starch out of this runner….expect better this time.
Dreamin Grand hasn’t taken to Canterbury the way his connections have hoped but he’ll stretch back out in distance in seek of win 2. He made a little move in the slop sprinting last time but wasn’t threatening anyone on the board. That was his first start for Wolochuk and this one could improve as well.


Race 7
#4 Royal Bluff
#3 Sophie’s Cupcake
#8 Brooke Academy
 
Wagers
$.50 Pick Four ($72 total)
3,4,7,8/3,6,7/3,4,5/1,2,4,5
$.10 Superfecta Box ($2.40 total)
3,4,7,8
It looked like Lady’s Edition may never escape this level but now that she’s departed for non-3 lifetime land, whose turn is it next? She beat the majority of this group on July 13th but as always, consistency is not the calling card of these ladies style or finish-wise. Things could set up a little differently today… 
Lady’s stablemate, Royal Bluff, was probably moving best late in the race that day. She has one of the toughest records to stomach in the race but the same thing applied to LE. The fields she attempted to tackle earlier in the year were just a little too difficult but she does well when around this price range.
While she has the speed to grab the lead (as she showed last time), don’t be surprised to see Sophie’s Cupcake abandon that tactic today. She scored sitting just off the pace two back and with the plentiful front runners entered she may benefit from that kind of trip. She simply tired last time but she went quickly early.
The filly to beat and the morning line favorite is Brooke Academy. She was among the speedsters duking it out early last time but she was the only one to hang on for a piece at the end. The Miller trainee is getting a little closer with each start this year and could get there with a little luck.


Race 8
#3 Moonshine Promise
#6 Simply Secret
#7 Hawkeye Honey
 
Wagers
$1 Exacta Box ($4 total)
3/6,7
$.50 Trifecta ($15 total)
3,6,7/3,6,7/All
Who wants the lead in the 8th? A good percentage of route races at this level are won by front runners and there are a few entered in this spot. A few also enter off a win at this very price tag against non-3 lifetimes. This should be a good betting race but demand a price on the filly of your choice.
Hopefully the morning line price of Moonshine Promise drifts up, as she stands a fine chance to rebound in this spot. She usually goes off at a very square number, and even when favored she’s above 2-1. The turf try last out proved fruitless but she can stalk anyone that goes bananas on the lead and has a great record on our dirt.
Don’t expect Simply Secret to be far behind at any point in this. This Silva filly looks to keep her win streak alive with the same price tag attached as the last two, but this time she’ll go long. No doubt she’ll keep herself in the race early, but knocking out this many conditions in a row at this level would be a feat. 
Hawkeye Honey took a little more time between her second and third career wins, but the same in similar fashion to the filly above. However, hers were both going one mile and seventy yards. She makes plenty of sense to get another one but the last time she won she regressed a bit next out.
 
Race 9
#4 Regards
#3 Smart Business
#5 Stormy Affair
 
Wagers
$1 Daily Double ($12 total)
3,4,5/1,2,4,5
$.50 Trifecta Box ($3 total)
3,4,5
A rather difficult to sort Maiden Special Weight starts the late double with a hefty purse attached for Minnesotans. A pair of full brothers is in here for different trainers, and one was a far more expensive purchase than the other. In between them is a hard luck gelding for a hard luck trainer….
Regards is no stranger to tough trips, and last time may have been the worst of them all. He made a bit of a close on the outside after pulling back to last but put in a much better effort two back. The Hanson barn got off to a slow start this summer but things seem to be turning and maybe this horse can contribute to that… 
The younger of the two brothers mentioned above is Smart Business. He has the work tab to be a winner first time around but comes from a stable that usually doesn’t see victory first time around. This one was working well as a two year old last year but opted to wait another year to debut. 
His older brother also waited a while to hit the starting gate. Stormy Affair debuted as a four year old but had some nice works leading into it. This crafty barn is willing to wait until a horse is ready to roll and surely another step forward is in the works in start number three.
 
Race 10
#2 Street Fighting
#4 Sassy Prance
#5 Vanderbilt Beach
 
Wagers
$.50 Trifecta ($6 total)
2,4/1,2,4,5/1,2,4,5
$1 Exacta Box ($12 total)
1,2,4,5
Changes, changes, changes. The entirety of the six pack in the last is changing up something: Class, distance, gender or rider. A pair comes from both the Bethke stable and from the Rhone stable, and their horses should be well bet in this maiden special weight to close the evening.
While it’s very tempting to take the filly against the males, something is interesting about the early speed of Street Fighting. It may not look like he has much based on his running lines but he shouldn’t be all that far off the pace in a race sort of lacking a front runner. He’s a reach but no one in here is a cinch.
The filly from the same camp is Sassy Prance, but she has some questions to answer. She seems to handle the dirt just fine but she steps up against males. Her style may play against her on the main track but she stands as the one to beat and she is a must on top of any tickets to conclude your night.
Vanderbilt Beach has taken many a swing and gets close but will try a tenth time to break his maiden. This will be his first try around two turns and the way that he runs at 6 ½ this may be right up his alley. The barn isn’t stellar with their first time routers but many of them aren’t in this small of a field.
 
Saturday, July 26
by Jeff Maday
Race 1
#4 Just Stridin Ivory
#3 Seis Memories
#5 Streak N Talent
Wagers
$1 Exacta Box ($2 total)
3,4
$1 Double ($6 total)
3,4 with 2,5,6
The day begins with the bang of quarter horses breaking from the gate and closes with the bang of the Human Cannonball flying down the track.
Just Stridin Ivory was close in last effort, gaining ground to lose by half a length. He should get up in time today with added yardage to work with.
Seis Memories got passed by Just Stridin Ivory while making his first start off a layoff. Top barn might get more from this 3-year-old today. Definite player here.
Streak N Talent gets blinkers for her first start as a 3-year-old. The Minnesota bred has not hit the board in five tries so expect a big price.
Race 2
#6 Iba Jess
#1 Mt Badbo
#5 Countess Noble
Wagers
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
1,5,6
$1 Pick Three ($6 total)
1,5,6 with 4 with 4,7
Iba Jess came up short going a lesser distance at this level on July 11. Stormy Smith stays aboard. With two from the Charette-Hill barn that look good, this Hunt horse will be a square price.
The Charette-Hill horses are Mt Badbo, a beaten favorite last time, and Countess Noble who has missed the ticket in her two local tries. Both drop in class. Torres rides from the rail and will pop on top.
Goodwin gets Countess Noble. The filly has not been a threat of late but will move up today.
Race 3
#4 Double Zap
#2 Soul Pilot
#5 Nantucket Sound
Wagers
50 cent Trifecta ($4 total)
4 over 2,5 over ALL
50 cent Pick Four ($27 total)
2,4 with 3,4,7 with 2,5,6 with 1,2,8
The early pick four begins here as thoroughbreds make up the remainder of the race day. Each horse here seeks career win number two.
Double Zap has been in the mix in his last two and figures to take a lot of betting action. He found the lead in the slop in the stretch last time but faded. Shepherd picks up the mount as Eikleberry is in New Mexico today for big money stakes racing. There is not much speed here so Shepherd should keep Career Student company early and then kick on.
Soul Pilot is from the top barn of Mac Robertson. He has been away since March but has a string of drills at Arlington that should have him prepared for this race. He lacks speed but does have ability to pass horses. The track has really favored speed horses all meet but at this distance and class level a grinder might get it done anyway.
Nantucket Sound plunged in class to break his maiden with a late run on a sloppy track. He should get a similar trip today. Good barn might have this one turned around.
Race 4
#4 Proud Comet
#7 Wheeler Gorge
#3 Secret Approach
Wagers
$1 Trifecta ($5 total)
4 over 7 over ALL
10 cent Superfecta ($4 total)
4,7 over 4,7 over ALL over ALL
The morning line maker suspects that the public will make this a two-horse affair and bet both Proud Comet and Wheeler Gorge to favoritism.
Proud Comet, with Ordaz in the saddle, should be the speed in this race and dictate the early going. His main problem, and what has kept him from visiting the winners’ circle, is the inability to finish the job. If he gets a lone and easy lead it might be his turn to win.
Wheeler Gorge however may have something to say about that as he too has some speed but maybe not enough to stick a head in front of Ordaz. Franco is back in Shakopee, ready to make some noise. Both the top two picks have broken some hearts.
There are two droppers from the maiden special weight ranks. Secret Approach may have the most upside. He only raced once, went to post at 67 to 1, and finished last. He won’t have the pace challenge he did facing better and might get a sweet trip. The drop and racing experience might help him today. Hamilton gets the mount.
Race 5
#5 Switchen Er Up
#6 Grace of Greatness
#2 Talk About Me
Wagers
$1 Exacta ($8 total)
2,5,6 over 2,4,7
$1 Pick Three ($9 total)
2,5,6 with 1,2,8 with 1
The turf course has produced some front running winners, especially at this distance. There are several that can go from the gate but maybe one holds the best speed.
Switchen Er Up is a speedball who stretches out in distance and tries grass for the first time. This filly should be flying early, with Blues Edge and Love Makor in chase mode. Crafty combo of Butler and Bravo simply win races. Out of the gate and gone at 5 to 1 odds.
Grace of Greatness has won races on the front, in fact in each of her two recent starts she lead at the outset, but she also has some ability to press. Canchari will need to work a trip here and not get cooked trying to keep up. Unless the top choice does not take to the turf. Top barn at work.
If you think the speed may be too much and a closer comes to get them then take a long look at Talk About Me and Juan Rivera. The Sweere barn is sneaky good. This mare has not yet won on sod but made a nice move two back. Should save ground inside and is a definite danger.
Race 6
#2 Rebel Rocket
#1 Bosque Angel
#8 Tacoma Park
Wagers
$1 Exacta Box ($4 total)
2 with 1,8
50 cent Trifecta ($6 total)
2 over ALL over 1,8
Handicappers often encounter horses making large class drops as well as horses shipping in from other tracks. The job is to figure out how they fit into the puzzle. In this race you have one taking a huge drop and shipping in and another that last raced in Southern California.
One horse however that has been racing here, and recently broke his maiden, is Rocket Rebel for the Heitzmann barn. The win came at the bottom but was quite impressive as the 3-year-old pressed the pace and then drew off. It was his first race in blinkers. Granted the competition was weak but perhaps the equipment change woke him up. He won’t be a huge price but should offer better odds than the dropper or the shipper and should he win would be a nice horse to have in the pick three or four.
Bosque Angel raced 49 days ago at Santa Anita, finishing fifth. He is now in the Diodoro barn and has a couple of works locally. His speed figs are solid for this level and he has enough speed to be close, which you generally need to win at this distance. No surprise if he prevails.
The same can be said for Tacoma Park. He arrives from Arlington and drops from a $50,000 claiming race to a $6,250 claiming race. Seems like there should be a stop somewhere in between for this 3-year-old. Does he win? Find out at what should be a short price. Berndt knows how to win and where to place his horses. This just seems too good to be true.
Race 7
#1 Dontrattlemycage
#8 Slamit
#5 African Gray
Wagers
50 cent Trifecta ($7 total)
1 over 5,8 over ALL
50 cent Pick Four ($37.50 total)
1,5,8 with 2,3,5,7,9 with 1,2,4,6,7 with 6
Two turf races are in the late pick four sequence, beginning here with a $10,000 claiming event.
Dontrattlemycage was named Canterbury 2013 Champion grass horse after winning all three local turf starts. He ran here this season on turf, off a two-month layoff, and showed little. Litfin drops the veteran in class and reunites him with Eddie Martin Jr. who was aboard for those 2013 scores. Class drop/jockey change equals a score. Morning line of 6 to 1 is worth a try here. He was wide July 3 and will get a tight trip today. A pair of crisp morning works indicate that it is go time. #play
Slamit is speed and speed is good at this distance. There are others here that can show speed but it seems Slamit must show speed and should get the front. If the internal pace fractions remain reasonable then he should have plenty left. The Lawn Ranger Scott Stevens gets the call and he can slow things done with a crafty ride.
African Gray has been on the board in all seven 2014 starts, two of them locally. He is a versatile sort that can track the pace and keep things honest up front. He makes the most sense in here if you want something conventional.
Race 8
#9 Lil’ Apollo
#3 Sweet Elation
#7 Totee
Wagers
$1 Exacta ($7 total)
2,3,7,9 over 5,9
$1 Pick Three ($7 total)
9 with 1,2,3,4,6,7,9 with 6
Handicapping a horse race is a personal endeavor. You may see something that makes sense to you but is ridiculous to others. There is a chance that this handicapper’s race 8 selection would fall in that latter category.
Lil’ Apollo has never beaten open company, getting all three wins facing state breds. He last tried turf in a MN bred stakes but was overmatched and simply may not be a grass runner. Pfeifer drops him in class to a new low level. The speed horses likely to take play all can be debunked so maybe a closer like this Minnesota Derby winner can jump up. Solid pilot on a horse with some closing kick. You will need all of that 12 to 1 morning line to get your money’s worth.
Jock Hernandez won on Sue’s Stormy and Totee but opts to ride the Brinson charge Sweet Elation. He did guide this horse to a win on June 1 but also was aboard when the horse flashed and faded last time. Sweet Elation was off for a year and a half before returning in May at Arlington. He arrived in Shakopee and crushed as the betting favorite in the aforementioned win. His best effort would win here and expect him to be close to the pace to make that best run happen.
Totee is another with early foot. He won last time by sitting just off and passing at the top of the stretch at 13 to 1 odds. He won’t be that long this afternoon. Escobar inherits the mount. Playable.
Race 9
#7 It’s Tamareno
#2 Vertical Lift
#4 Sweet Tango
Wagers
$1 Double ($3 total)
2,4,7 with 6
50 cent Trifecta ($12 total)
2,4,7 over 1,5,6,9 over 2,4,7
It’s Tamareno makes her second start off a layoff. Her 2014 debut was in the Princess Elaine Stakes and she ran fourth, lacking the punch needed to get a repeat win in that race. But she got something from that effort and will be more prepared for this field. She has tactical speed and will be sitting behind what could be a hot pace and a stretch meltdown.
Vertical Lift draws inside. She has never missed the board here in six turf tries and won half of them. She can win from just about everywhere, so veteran jock Butler has options. Very dangerous.
Sweet Tango is best when she gets the lead and may need to deal with Standbyyourmangirl early. That one jumped out of her skin in a career best, front-running, turf win June 12. But maybe Canchari can work some magic with this Robertson runner.
Race 10
#6 Paint the Moon
#2 Hola Wild Cat
#7 Rebel My Man
Wagers
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
6 with 1,2,7
50 cent Trifecta ($7.50 total)
6 over 1,2,7 over ALL
More entertainment to come following this race as David ‘The Bullet’ Smith launches from a cannon in a death defying feat sure to thrill and amuse young and old alike.
Paint the Moon is the obvious answer. Not a sure things but likely with any improvement. The Troche runner has good speed and escalating speed figures. Another step forward is a win.
Hola Wild Cat has rarely routed so this will be a test for a sprinter with some speed that should be prominent early.
Rebel My Man got the jump on Paint the Moon when they met July 12. But in the late stages he was overtaken by the top choice.
 
 
Sunday, July 27th
By Angela Hermann

Race 1

#9 Midnight Teller
#8 Sexy Courage
#4 Furys Folly
Wagers
$1 Daily Double ($6 total)
4,8,9/7,8
$.50 Trifecta ($13.50 total)
4,8,9/3,4,8,9/2,3,4,8,9
A majority of the first race field are seeking two in a row. This $10,000 non-three lifetime is a tough one for the level and the distance has been kind to a good chunk of the group. The finish of the first could end up as a very big clump at the end but the betting possibilities are appealing. 
The setup of this one looks very similar to the last race won by the outside gelding, Midnight Teller. The $10,000 level just seems to agree with him and after an unsuccessful stakes try he rebounded nicely in his second start at Canterbury. Olmstead has now won two of three with him.
She’s been off for a while, but Sexy Courage lops $5,000 off her last claiming tag to go in this spot. Stacy Charette-Hill hasn’t had this filly for very long but her race two back could probably get in the mix with these. Her two works in Minnesota have been quick and she usually breaks fairly well.
Furys Folly has always performed best in her home state and exits tougher company in the Morehouse than she’ll see here. If she runs today like she did on May 31st she will give the rest all they can handle. Maybe a tad more yardage would help her but she did break her maiden at 300 yards.


Race 2
#7 Greyice
#8 Jess Red Sevens
#6 Bank On This Wagon
Wagers
$1 Exacta Box ($4 Total)
7/6,8
$1 Pick Three ($9 total)
7/2,3,4/2,3,5
Only fifteen starts can be compiled between these eight two year olds, and many of their trainers had horses aplenty in futurity trials earlier this summer. Some of these participated in them, some didn’t, but the experience against those tougher youngsters will play into this particular race. 
If he can learn to run a bit straighter, Greyice holds a big advantage over this field. He got himself into trouble in the Northlands Futurity last time and ended up being placed 8th after running into others. He has the talent to outrun these but that doesn’t mean that he won’t cause the same shenanigans again. 
Should he falter and take off towards the inside, the only horse to his outside hasn’t shown his best yet. Jess Red Sevens ran in the first race of the day on a wet Northlands trial Saturday, and as it turns out that trial is one of the more live two year old races of the meet. Many have come back to win their next start and he could follow suit in this softer spot if he improves a bit.
Bank On This Wagon is getting a late start to the races for how early he started working out in the morning but the son of Pyc Paint Your Wagon has flashed ability in some of those drills. Torres chooses this Charette-Hill trainee over the other entered in here and that should send the betting money this way as well.
 

Race 3
#4 Sooner Country Babe
#3 Saving Shirley
#2 Xoom
Wagers
$.50 Pick Four ($36 total)
2,3,4/3/1,2,7/All
$.10 Superfecta ($4.80 total)
3,4/2,3,4/1,2,3,4,6/All
The beginning to the early pick four is a $25,000 stake that’s tough to narrow down. Only a few of the mares have scored at 400 yards lifetime but those that like the distance seem to love it and they’re the morning line choices. Still, a couple of inexperienced ones at the trip deserve another try….
Though it was only 110 yards, Sooner Country Babe got a sharp tune-up for this race in the Dash In a Flash behind her stablemate Kool Wagon. She has become a razor sharp filly out of the gate but she can last this distance just fine and it’s seen her hitting the board in four of five tries.
Beaten favorite last time Saving Shirley took on males as well last time. She didn’t run her customary solid race but her connections have been rock solid all meet long and the Oregon-bred called Los Alamitos home until March of this year. She can handle the distance as well but needs to step it up a notch.
Some of the better recent times in this field at 400 yards have been posted by Xoom. She hasn’t won since last September but she’s also the youngest member of the field. There could still be room to improve and she’s been performing well with the added real estate lately.


Race 4
#3 Kato Miss
#2 Jewel’s Honor
#5 Tahkodha Red
Wagers
$1 Exacta Box ($4 total)
3/2,5
$1 Pick Three ($24 total)
2,3,5/1,2/4,5,6,8
A second group of maidens will go to the track in the fourth race. This particular group of fillies won’t blow anyone away in the numbers department but there is some speed signed on to keep the pace honest up front. If the morning line favorite can stay straight this time she may be gone….
The blinkers go on to aid the cause of Kato Miss, but she saw something she didn’t like last time and made a break for the outside. She gets a new jockey and the shades for Vic Hanson, but her three prior runner-up finishes were all in front-running fashion and she could forget to stop today.
Jewel’s Honor was behind Kato Miss in two of her three lifetime starts but the last time they met she got the inside track on the above filly after the bolting incident. She’s gone after the early lead in her last couple and fizzled out both times in the process, but the leading barn keeps the faith at the Special Weight level once more.
Tahkodha Red was motoring home behind Sophie’s Cupcake in her first start of the year but came up just a neck short. It’s a good sign that Brinson moves her up into this company when her first three lifetime efforts were against sellers but she needs to prove she can hang with them.   
 


Race 5
#1 Iver With an E
#2 Star Street
#7 Smiling Charlie
Wagers
$1 Exacta ($9 total)
1,2,7/1,2,4,7
$.50 Trifecta Box ($12 total)
1,2,4,7
The first turf race of the day reunites a few from a race won by Jimmer on June 27th. The pace may be a little more up-tempo with the addition of Two Chance into the mix, but don’t necessarily expect the same horses to join him on the front end….
Until his last race, Iver With an E hadn’t really contested the early pace. Usually a stalker or closer in the past, his inside draw sort of forced him to go early to keep from getting bottled up. Rather than lock horns with some of the speedsters to his outside, maybe today he lets them do the dirty work and goes by late.
Star Street ran a brave one that day while only ending up a half-length behind Jimmer at the end. He is winless to date on the turf but his race last time on the dirt left something to be desired. He should appreciate the switch back to the lawn and Escobar stays put for Clay Brinson.
The other Mac Robertson entrant, Smiling Charlie, ran a heck of a race behind next-out-stakes-winning Edison. Despite being off since January the son of Pulpit gamely battled that heavy favorite home and came up a short margin short. Things later in the season may be on his radar but another run like that would put him in the picture at the end.


Race 6
#6 Samendra
#4 Cowboy Luke
#5 Royal Import
 
Wagers
$.10 Superfecta ($7.20 total)
4,6/1,4,5,6,8/1,4,5,6,8/1,3,4,5,6,8
$1 Exacta ($6 total)
4,6/4,5,6,8
The veterans in the sixth have a common thread: A whole ton of them want to be on or near the lead. The X-factor for those wishing to dictate things up front is sprinter Appeals the Deal. He is probably the quickest of them all and could steal the starch from many others as they chase him.
Still, that Minnesotan is hard to trust so another will be used. Samendra adores Canterbury and has been consistently grabbing checks since he arrived this summer. Dean Butler rode him a long time ago but knows how to get him moving…and he’s ridden a winner for the barn from the limited mounts they’ve put on the track together. 
Cowboy Luke started out his season on a high note this summer but hasn’t returned with the same kind of effort. He dropped to this level last time but was well beaten at a low price. He can rebound at any time and fills the exacta more often than not at the distance.
Beaten last-out favorite Royal Import will try again for the Chambers barn. He lay close that day but couldn’t muster any kind of late run, ending up way behind some others that show up in this spot. Things need to turn around in a hurry but he must’ve needed that last race badly.


Race 7
#1 Major Magic
#6 Rupansu
#4 Fire Game
 
Wagers
$.50 Pick Four ($36 total)
1,4,6,10/1,4,9/5,7,9/3,8
$.50 Trifecta Box ($12 total)
1,4,6,10
Many in this $7,500 claimer are coming down in class, but not by much. This would be a race to spread out a little bit in the pick four, and should the scratches be kind make sure to use Also-Eligible Gentle As a Breeze. That one loves our turf course but the balance of the field hasn’t done much over it…
Major Magic is going to need to find a way to win for the first time in years. His last win was a stake, but he’s also been hitting tougher heads than he finds here. Giovanni Franco has had a lot of success on the turf riding for Diodoro so maybe he can break this one out of a lengthy slump.
Rupansu found life on the Turf Paradise grass this winter and didn’t run poorly in his first venture in Shakopee. His two wins in Phoenix were against conditioned foes but he has good tactical speed for Eddie Martin to use and he is the one to beat if he runs back to his last.
Fire Game can make this one interesting with his sprint speed. He’s sprinted on the turf before but he rarely takes on two turns these days. He was stuck for quite some time at the non-3 lifetime level but if the light bulb’s come on he does have a decent little pedigree to handle grass.


Race 8
#1 Denim and Diamonds
#9 Bertslittlesister
#4 Pleasant Life
 
Wagers
$.10 Superfecta Box ($12 total)
1,4,6,8,9
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
9/1,4,6
A salty group of claimers are due to battle in the 8th and they really don’t have all that much in the way of early lick. For such an experienced bunch not all that many have run or won at the 6 ½ furlong distance but some that haven’t got there yet have come close….
Martinez & Martinez will hook up with Denim and Diamonds. She is one that’s hit the board twice at the distance without hitting pay dirt. The blinkers she sported last time got her closer to the lead and after throwing a fit in the paddock she ran pretty well. If she can keep her cool today and take a small step forward in the figure department who knows…..the price should definitely be right.
Bert’slittlesister, on the other hand, towers over this group if figs are your thing. She’s a versatile little money maker for the Sampsons but she can’t seem to get by the last runner or two lately. Coming off the turf and dropping to the bottom should equal victory but that’s how it looked two back as well…. 
Pleasant Life was flying at the end of her first start for Mac Robertson last time but had to settle for fourth just behind Denim and Diamonds. She had a break this year from April to July so hopefully that last one got the dust off and she can be more of a player today.
 
Race 9
#9 Reclusive
#7 Starry
#5 Theatre of Dreams
 
Wagers
$1 Daily Double ($8 total)
1,5,7,9/3,8
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
5,7,9
The girls get a try at the same condition and distance that the boys raced at in the 7th today, and they’re not any easier to sort out. While a few exit common races, it’s a union of mares from many different levels and conditions. Cases can be made for just about everyone, but….
The favorite Reclusive returns to the site of her last success. She barely held that day three back but she was close to the pace as well. In her last couple she’s come charging in from off the pace but has run out of real estate in the lane. Her post affords her options and Butler’s got a chance to get a feel for her.
There’s mixed signals radiating from Starry but she is a good fit at this distance and over the grass. She was faring well out east before going south in the south this winter; but now she’s in new hands and has been well rested for her first crack at Canterbury turf. The works indicate she may be feeling like her old self.
Theatre of Dreams has carved out a 50% win clip over the local sod but was the beaten favorite last time around. She went straight to the lead that day but with some other fillies to her insides with likely designs on the lead she may fall into the cozy stalking trip that proved victorious twice last summer. 
 
Race 10
#8 Gottcha Silver
#9 Luxury and Glitter
#3 Jumpin Jimineys
 
Wagers
$.10 Superfecta Box ($12 total)
3,8,9,10,11
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
3,8,9
A full gate for the last has a few dropping from the Maiden Special Weight level to the Maiden Claiming level. Statebreds go 5 ½ to close out the card and they’re an experienced group of maidens. Take the droppers and hope that they wake up or take one who’s been live at this level?
The drop hopefully wakes up Gottcha Silver, because the speed he’s shown in the past could very well wire this group. Stormy Smith hopped aboard last time but couldn’t get him any closer at the end than in his first three outings of the year. So, the Johnson stable will drop him today for the first time.
Luxury and Glitter is usually in the hunt but his 0-29 record is tough to take. He’s honest enough and has some speed, but even that may not be enough in a group that holds a lot of the same sorts as him. This may be a little short for him but he sprinted better last time than he normally does.
Jumpin Jimineys makes the drop with ‘Silver to sellers for the first time and enters with a stablemate drawn just to his outside. He has the speed to stay in contention but has backed up badly in all three this year. If you like the GS or JJ in this spot, they aren’t all that different of horses.