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RACE ANALYSIS

Saturday, may 28 ....sunday, may 29 ... Monday, May 30

 

by brian kohn

 

 

 

 

 

May 28
Race 1:
Catch This Train is making her second start. She finished 7th in her debut, but broke away slowly which likely took her out of contention. The third place finisher in that start, A Devine Cartel, won a maiden race in his next start. Hopefully getting the rail draw here helps this one avoid any bumping or trouble and looks to improve with a better start here.
Hesa Gambler Man was 5th in his debut effort going 300 yards in a futurity trial. His next start was only 250 yards and he finished 7th. It is likely that he can go longer and should improve going back to the same distance as his debut.
Hals Flying Eagle has yet to get a good trip in his brief career. He broke slowly in his debut and finished 8th. In his second start, he was bumped repeatedly at the break and finished 7th. He now moves to the Charlton Hunt barn, a 19% winner after making the barn change. I am looking forward to seeing what he can do if he can get a clean trip here. 
Race Selections:
1st Place: #1 Catch This Train
2nd Place:
#4 Hesa Gambler Man
3rd Place:
#8 Hals Flying Eagle
Suggested Wagers:
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
1, 4, 8

$1 Trifecta Box ($6 total)
1, 4, 8
Race 2:
Tester has won his last two sprint starts at this claiming price at Turf Paradise. Overall, he has won three of his last four starts. The only loss came in a race in which he went up in class and finished 6th as the favorite. There is not a lot of pace in this race so I would expect him to be close to the lead here and should be good enough to pass any horse in front of him.
De Facto has won two of his last three starts after a short layoff. Both of those victories did come at lower claiming prices than he will be at today. He was claimed two starts back for $5,000 and was moved to starter allowance company but did not fair too well with the bump up in class. I would expect him to take the lead early but concerned that his wins lately have been at one mile and this race just might not be long enough for his best.
Kipper Key will drop down for a price after facing starter allowance at Oaklawn Park last time. He finished a respectable 5th considering that he was last by 10 lengths early in the race and was able to rally to improve his position. He was third at this claiming price three starts back and runner-up at the $7,500 price two starts back. 
Race Selections:
1st Place: #2 Tester
2nd Place:
#4 De Facto
3rd Place:
#1 Kipper Key
Suggested Wagers:
$2 Exacta ($4 total)
2/1, 4

$2 Trifecta ($4 total)
2/1, 4
Race 3:
Deadly Truth was claimed by one of the top trainers in this meet, Robertino Diodoro, two starts back for $10,000. He won his first start after the claim after moving from turf back to dirt. Considering that he won last time, I would look for this one to keep improving now moving to allowance/optional claiming condition. Although he has not raced since March 21, he does have a bullet workout on May 22 here which hopefully is a good sign that he is ready for his return start here.
National has been racing extremely well since stretching out to route distance races including three consecutive victories at Tampa Bay Downs. Two of those victories were at the $16,000 claiming price and should race well moving up to allowance/optional claiming here.   Overall, jockey Dean Butler has been his best rider winning four of his last five starts when he gets aboard.
Politicallycorrect was claimed two starts back for $20,000 in March at Oaklawn. After a short layoff, returned here last Sunday and finished runner-up on the turf in an allowance/optional claiming race. Although he is racing quickly after his latest effort, trainer Robertino Diodoro has won three of ten starts between one and seven days between races.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #1 Deadly Truth
2nd Place:
#3 National
3rd Place:
#4 Politicallycorrect
Suggested Wagers:
$2 Win, Place ($4 total)
1

$2 Exacta ($4 total)
1/3, 4
Race 4:
Sassy Prance broke through with a maiden victory by over seven lengths last summer. Since that start, she has finished in the money in two of her next four starts including third in a non-winners of three lifetime allowance race on the turf. She will be switching trainers from Bernell Rhone to Tony Rengstorf and will be interested in seeing if she can keep improving after switching barns. Dean Butler will remain the rider for her 2016 debut.
Plenty of Sun finished an even fourth in his 2016 debut here last Friday night. Last summer, he did finish in the money in two stakes behind one of the top Minnesota-breds Hold for More. He probably needed that start and should improve in his second start of the meet and will be making his first start on the turf.
Sam’s Silver Star has been runner-up in two of his last three starts including last time finishing ahead of Plenty of Sun. One of those runner-up performances was on the turf so I would expect him to enjoy returning to the turf for this start.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #7 Sassy Prance
2nd Place:
#2 Plenty of Sun
3rd Place:
#6 Sam’s Silver Star
Suggested Wagers:
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
2, 6, 7

$1 Trifecta Box ($6 total)
2, 6, 7
Race 5:
Justeveryday was a two length winner in an $8,000 claiming race at Tampa Bay Downs earlier this winter. Has not raced as well since then, but all of those starts were going longer and should bounce back returning from a layoff, shortening the distance back to six furlongs, and dropping in price.
Princess Gina won three starts back at the $7,500 claiming price at Remington Park. She has not shown the same form in her next two starts and has not raced since December of last year at Tampa Bay Downs. She may have just needed a break and I would expect her to improve in her return race for a barn that has done well early in this meet.
No Rain will also be making her 2016 debut here. She went up to allowance company in four of her next five starts after winning at this same claiming price. I would expect her to improve with the class drop here. The concern with her is that she seems to only have one gear that is to take a lead early but not have enough left down the stretch. Maybe switching to veteran rider Eddie Martin Jr. helps her keep her pace up late in the race.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #5 Justeveryday
2nd Place:
#3 Princess Gina
3rd Place:
#6 No Rain
Suggested Wagers:
$2 Exacta ($4 total)
5/3, 6

$1 Trifecta ($4 total)
5/3, 6/2, 3, 6
Race 6:
Sky City makes his second start since being claimed for $8,000. In his first start after the claim, he finished runner-up as the even money favorite. Overall this year, he has finished in the money in six of seven starts with the lone victory coming at the $8,000 price four starts back. It will be interesting to see how he likes racing on the turf since he lacks a lot of turf experience in his career.
Unlike Sky City, Vibrato Jazz has raced his best on the turf with all nine career victories coming on the grass. Overall, he has won three of his last six starts. The connections really wanted him back and reclaimed him two starts back. He also has a bullet workout on the main track here May 21.
Battle On has finished in the top two in four consecutive starts at the $5,000 price at Turfway Park including two victories. I am not concerned with him jumping up in class since has raced so well against lower prices as of late. This will be the first start since being claimed last time. I am not sure that this will be the best spot for him as he will be racing two turns and making his turf debut. If he does not race well today, I would look for him to cut back in distance later this meet.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #7 Sky City
2nd Place:
#4 Vibrato Jazz
3rd Place:
#8 Battle On
Suggested Wagers:

$2 Win, Place, Show ($6 total)
7
50-cent Pick 3 ($3 total)
4, 7, 8/2, 7/7
Race 7:
Cajun Don has been quite popular at the claiming box as he has been claimed in seven of his last nine starts. Possibly the reason for this has been his consistency. In those same nine starts, he has won two of them while finishing in the money in six of them. The current connections claimed him two starts back for $5,000 and bumped him up to the $7,500 price where he finished 10th. I would expect him to bounce back well dropping back down to $4,000 price here.
Mydancingshadow should get a good trip here since he possesses early speed in a race that does not have a lot of pace. He was a winner at the $3,500 claiming price two starts back as the favorite at Turf Paradise. He was bumped up to a higher price after this start and did not race nearly as well. I would expect him also to race well dropping back down in price.
Winningcherokee raced well in his career at Canterbury with two victories out of four lifetime starts. He finished third in his most recent start here, a starter allowance race. He has not shown that same form since then including finishing 9th in a $7,500 claiming race in his latest start in January at Oaklawn Park. Hopefully the layoff gets him the rest he needed and should enjoy racing on a surface he has been successful on.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #7 Cajun Don
2nd Place:
#2 Mydancingshadow
3rd Place:
#3 Winningcherokee
Suggested Wagers:

$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
2, 3, 7
$2 Double ($6 total)
2, 3, 7/7

Race 8:
She Spends My Lute has done very well since her debut finishing in the money in six consecutive starts including breaking through with her maiden victory two starts back on the turf at Turf Paradise. Raced well facing winners for the first time when she finished third in an allowance race March 15. What has impressed me the most with her is that she is very versatile with nice results going short and long as well as both on the dirt and on the turf.
Racinrosemary will be dropping to the $20,000 price for this start. She was a longshot maiden allowance winner at Remington Park in September of last year. Since that breakthrough effort, she has not shown that same form finishing 5th in her latest effort, a $32,000 claiming race in January at Tampa Bay Downs. I would expect her to race well returning from the layoff and this may be a better spot for her.
Octavia Hill raced well last summer at Canterbury. She broke through with her maiden victory against Minnesota-breds after finishing runner-up in her previous three starts. She has only raced once since her win and that was in an open company allowance race at Prairie Meadows in April where she finished 6th. She probably needed that race and should improve dropping in class to claiming.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #7 She Spends My Lute
2nd Place:
#3 Racinrosemary
3rd Place:
#2 Octavia Hill
Suggested Wagers:
$2 Exacta ($4 total)
7/2, 3

$1 Trifecta ($4 total)
7/2, 3/2, 3, 4

 

May 29
Race 1:
Ms Dynasty makes her second start since moving to the Jason Olmstead barn. She won last time in her 2016 debut in April at Remington Park. The runner-up in that race, Valiant Arrival won her maiden race next time on May 22. She faced some good competition in her two starts as a 2-year-old including finishing third in a futurity trial behind eventual Grade I All American Futurity champion Jess Good Candy at Ruidoso Downs.

Iowas Texan Tlp makes his 2016 debut. He has won two of six lifetime starts and has finished in the money in five consecutive races. He won a futurity trial two starts back and in his final start of last year, he finished runner-up in the $200,000 Jim Bader Futurity at Prairie Meadows in October.
Mystical Styx will also make his 2016 debut here. He has shown improvement in each of his five career starts including victories in his last two starts. His latest effort was in a $15,000 claiming race at Prairie Meadows in September and if he can bring that late season form here he should be in the mix.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #8 Ms Dynasty
2nd Place:
#3 Iowas Texan Tlp
3rd Place:
#5 Mystical Styx
Suggested Wagers:
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
3, 5, 8

$2 Daily Double ($6 total)
3, 5, 8/8
 
Race 2:
Eagles Span won three races here last summer including the Mystic Lake Northlands Futurity and the North Central QHRA Futurity. During the winter he finished runner-up in the Grade I Southwest Juvenile Championship in December at Zia Park. He finished a disappointing 6th in his 2016 debut in March at Remington Park. The runner-up in that latest start, Queen Washita, won the Grade III Oklahoma Derby in her next start. I would expect him to bounce back after returning to a track he has found so much success at last summer.
Streak N Diamonds has raced well in his career with two wins in four lifetime starts including last year’s running of the Minnesota Futurity.  His only loss in his last three starts was an allowance race to No Regrets Here, who would go on to win his next start at Prairie Meadows in an allowance race. His two wins were against Minnesota-breds and will be interested if he can win against open company.
V Os Filo also raced well last year here including runner-up behind Streak N Diamonds in the Minnesota Futurity. He broke slowly in his 2016 debut and finished 10th in an allowance race at Remington Park. He may have needed that race and I am hoping for him to step up here in his second start of the year. He does not look like one who could win but could be in the bottom end of exotics.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #8 Eagles Span
2nd Place:
#9 Streak N Diamonds
3rd Place:
#3 V Os Filo
Suggested Wagers:
$5 Win
8
$2 Exacta ($4 total)
8/3, 9
 
Race 3:
Blinkersonletherip drops down from maiden allowance to $10,000 maiden claiming price here. She was outclassed in her three lifetime races and not surprisingly did not race too well. This spot seems to be a more logical spot for her. She also switches trainer to Randy Rarick for this start so hopefully a fresh set of eyes on her will help her break through here.
Da Kleinen Schatzi will be making her 2016 debut here. She finished a career best 5th in a $30,000 maiden claiming race last year so it looks like this price will help her be more successful. Trainer Tony Rengstorf wins at a 21% rate with layoffs of at least 180 days and will have Dean Butler in the irons for this start.
Much like my top two choices, Northern Profit struggled against maiden allowance company last year. She made her 2016 debut in a $50,000 maiden claiming race on May 21 and finished last. I figure that the drop in price can only help her improve and I would expect her to be more in the mix than her previous three lifetime starts.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #1 Blinkersonletherip
2nd Place:
#5 Da Kleinen Schatzi
3rd Place:
#2 Northern Profit
Suggested Wagers:
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
1, 2, 5

$1 Trifecta Box ($6 total)
1, 2, 5
Race 4:
Chris Mars was an allowance winner in his final start of 2015. In his 2016 debut, he finished 6th in an open company allowance race at Tampa Bay Downs in April. He probably needed that race and should benefit from going from open company to Minnesota-breds and racing for a claiming price. Fortunately he will not have to face Hold for More here, a horse in which he has finished behind in three of his eight lifetime starts. 
Sonny Money finished in the money in two of four starts here last summer. Both of those starts were against the same claiming price he will be facing here today. He finished 4th in his latest effort, an allowance race going one mile and seventy yards. That distance probably was not what he needs to race to show his best and would expect him to improve cutting back to a preferred six furlong distance here.
Regards goes up in price from $10,000 to $20,000. He has raced well at the $10,000 price including one victory and three in the money finishes in four starts. The last time he was at this price he was racing one mile and seventy yards. That distance was probably too long for him to race and I would expect him to race better at that price today.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #6 Chris Mars
2nd Place:
#3 Sonny Money
3rd Place:
#1 Regards
Suggested Wagers:
$2 Win Place ($4 total)
6
$1 Trifecta ($4 total)
6/1, 3/1, 3, 4
Race 5:
Rumorhe’s Theone has improved in each of his three career starts and broke through with a victory in a Minnesota-bred maiden allowance to end his 2015 campaign on September 6. Makes his 2016 debut here after taking the rest of 2015 off and Dean Butler remains the rider for one of the top trainers Francisco Bravo.
Valet raced well early in his career including a $30,000 maiden claiming victory as the odds on choice back in July 2015. The connections tried to race him going long and it just did not work out for him as he finished seventh behind Minnesota-bred star Hold for More. He cut back in distance and raced for a $10,000 price and finished a disappointing seventh to end his year. After the break, I would expect him to return to his early career form and race well in this spot.
The Gent Is a Cat ended his year on a high note when he won a $30,000 maiden claiming race in August. He faced some tough competition in some of his previous starts including 2015 Northern Lights Futurity champion Smooth Chiraz and Pensador, who has already finished third in an allowance race at this meet. Continuing to race for a claiming price looks to be the best chance for this one to get his second career win.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #2 Rumorhe’s Theone
2nd Place:
#6 Valet
3rd Place:
#5 The Gent Is a Cat
Suggested Wagers:
$2 Win, Place ($4 total)
2
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
2, 5, 6

 
Race 6:
Phantom Trip finished 5th in both of his two career starts. Those races were maiden allowance races at Oaklawn Park. He had a bullet workout at Prairie Meadows on May 15. He will wear blinkers for the first time and hopefully this along with the switch to turf gets him to his first career victory. 
NY-bred Flying Freud was racing at Saratoga last summer. Both of those starts were on the turf in maiden allowance races. Now moves over to the Tim Padilla barn, a trainer that has been successful early this meet and has won three of nine starts after the barn move. 
Rarin to Go did not live up to the name in his first four career starts but finally finished in the money in his fifth attempt, a $35,000 maiden claiming race at Oaklawn Park in April. He has moved to several different barns already in his brief career but possibly after moving back to the Michael Biehler barn last time got him on the right track.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #7 Phantom Trip
2nd Place:
#6 Flying Freud
3rd Place:
#4 Rarin to Go
Suggested Wagers:
50-cent Pick 4 ($13.50 total)
4, 6, 7/4, 5, 7/1, 10, 11/2
Race 7:
Ciaran’s Prize has never finished outside the money in seven lifetime starts at Canterbury and won multiple allowance races here last season. Since then she has finished third in an allowance race at Churchill and runner-up last time at Hawthorne. She has not raced since November 21. I am hoping that she will race well returning from a layoff and this race looks to feature a lot of early speed so she may be able to sit off the pace nicely here.
Diva’s Rule has raced very well in her career winning three of six starts and finishing in the top two in five of those starts. Her only finish outside of the money was a mile race at Remington Park. All of her victories have been against Oklahoma-breds but considering she has raced so well against state-breds, I would not be surprised to see that same form transfer to open company here. 
Reina de Aprisa is another one that has been very successful against state-breds at Fair Grounds. She won three consecutive Louisiana-bred starts this previous season. The connections tried to run her on the turf and that form just did not translate for her there where she finished seventh. She returns to a surface that she prefers here and could be dangerous if that state-bred form holds true here.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #5 Ciaran’s Prize
2nd Place:
#7 Diva’s Rule
3rd Place:
#4 Reina de Aprisa
Suggested Wagers:
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
4, 5, 7

$1 Trifecta Box ($6 total)
4, 5, 7
Race 8:
Make Money Honey was claimed for $6,250 two starts back by one of the top trainers early this meet, Robertino Diodoro. She was bumped up to a higher price and won by over six lengths in her next start. She drops back down to $7,500 for this start. Overall this year, she has finished in the money in four of six starts on the turf including two victories.
At one point in Bear Facts career, she won three consecutive starts including a starter allowance/optional claiming race here in May 2015. Since then she has moved up in condition and has not produced the same results. I would expect her to bounce back dropping in for a price in this start and to a surface that she has won on multiple times.
Miz Owell moved over to the Joe Sharp barn for all four starts of this year. She raced against higher class at Fair Grounds and did not race well. She dropped down to the $7,500 price at Laurel Park and won by two lengths on the turf as the favorite. This claiming price looks to be the perfect spot for her to run her best.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #11 Make Money Honey
2nd Place:
#10 Bear Facts
3rd Place:
#1 Miz Owell
Suggested Wagers:
$2 Win, Place ($4 total)
11
$2 Double ($6 total)
1, 10, 11/2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Race 9:
Diablo Caballero moves over to the Robertino Diodoro barn, a trainer that wins at a 23% rate after moving over to the barn. He ships in from Santa Anita where he has finished 4th in each of his last two starts. Both of those starts were at the $20,000 maiden claiming price. Earlier on in his career, he finished runner-up in back-to-back California-bred maiden allowance starts and will be tough to beat if he bring just a bit of that form here today.
Doodle Hopper is also dropping in price. His latest start was 5th in a $25,000 maiden claiming race at Oaklawn Park on April 9. Trainer McLean Robertson wins at a 23% rate with first starts after a layoff of that length. He was favored to win several maiden allowance starts last year at Canterbury and came up short in those performances. I would expect him to be much more competitive in this start after the price drop.
Ya Mon has raced well in two of his last three starts. He has finished in the money twice at Hawthorne since December of last year at the $7,500 price. He went to Turfway Park and finished seventh as the favorite, but that race was on an all-weather surface and I would figure he would bounce back here returning to natural dirt. He likes to take an early lead but does not hold onto the lead late and I would not be surprised to see a similar performance against these here today.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #2 Diablo Caballero
2nd Place:
#6 Doodle Hopper
3rd Place:
#5 Ya Mon
Suggested Wagers:
$5 Win
2

$2 Exacta ($4 total)
2/5, 6

 

May 30
Race 1:
Lika Nightmare has four consecutive runner-up performances last year. She has not returned to that form this year so far. This distance should help her improve as she has never finished outside the money in nine starts at 350 yards including two victories. I am hoping that returning to a track that she has won twice on and finished in the money eight of ten starts overall here gets her to show last fall’s form.  
Cr Wagon Man was a dead heat runner-up in a $122,000 stakes race at Prairie Meadows to close out his 2015 campaign. He made his 2016 debut in an allowance race at Remington and finished last. I am hoping that he needed that race and improves here. If he does not race well, he may wish to race a bit longer than 350 yards as his last victory was a derby trial going 400 yards.
Ricky Seperate makes his third start of the year. He was seventh in his return start but was gaining and out-finished in a fourth place effort by a neck in his latest start. That race was only 220 yards and will look to show that same type of form going a bit longer to 350 yards in this start, a distance that he has finished in the money at in three of four career starts.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #3 Lika Nightmare
2nd Place:
#2 Cr Wagon Man
3rd Place:
#6 Ricky Seperate
Suggested Wagers:
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
2, 3, 6

$1 Trifecta Box ($6 total)
2, 3, 6
Race 2:
Dominic’s Way makes his second start since moving over to the Robertino Diodoro barn. He finished third in his first start after the barn switch. He was the heavy favorite but did have a troubled trip that probably led to the disappointing finish. He will be switching back to dirt. Although he has raced well lately on the turf and all-weather surfaces, he did finish third in his latest natural dirt start. If this one can get a better trip I would expect him to be in contention.
Real Windy could not break through with a maiden win last summer here. After the meet ended last year, he took some time off and returned on February 28 at Turf Paradise and raced much better. He has finished in the money in four consecutive starts including a victory three starts back and third in an allowance race last time. 
Asi Si made his debut in a six furlong $20,000 maiden claiming race at Remington Park in December. He finished 7th in that start and then took several months off. He returned to the races on March 16 and really improved. The connections dropped him in price and stretched him out to two turns at Will Rogers Downs and he broke through as the odds on choice last time in an Oklahoma-bred $7,500 maiden claiming race. One of the top riders Dean Butler will be on this one today.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #1 Dominic’s Way
2nd Place:
#3 Real Windy
3rd Place:
#5 Asi Si
Suggested Wagers:

$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
1, 3, 5
50-cent pick 3 ($3 total)
1, 3, 5/4, 5/5
Race 3:
Smiling Charlie raced on the turf going seven and a half furlongs in a $20,000 claiming price in his latest start here May 22. He finished 5th and I am hoping that he has a performance much like the last time he was sprinting on the dirt, a third place finish two starts back at Oaklawn Park going six furlongs in a $10,000 claiming race. 
Kill Shot was claimed for $40,000 to his current trainer, Robertino Diodoro, last August at Del Mar. He finished third in that start and has not raced as well in his last four starts in which he has finished outside of the money. His latest start was a $16,000 claiming race at Santa Anita in April and dropping in price further here hopefully gets him back on track to show some of the form he did last summer in Southern California.
Friarcracker makes his first start of the year. He was a winner at the $20,000 claiming price last year. Since then faced some quality winners including finishing 4th behind last year’s Wally’s Choice Minnesota Classic Championship Stakes victor A P Is Loose. Three of his last five starts have been at least seven and a half furlongs so cutting back in distance should help him here. 
Race Selections:
1st Place: #5 Smiling Charlie
2nd Place:
#4 Kill Shot
3rd Place:
#2 Friarcracker
Suggested Wagers:
$2 Win, Place ($4 total)
5
$2 Exacta ($4 total)
5/2, 4
Race 4:
Smoltz has finished in the top two in each of his last three starts including a victory two starts back at Sam Houston in an allowance. Last time, he finished runner-up to Shanghai Red, who went on to win his next start in a Hawthorne allowance race. He has not raced since March 12, but has a bullet workout here on May 8 and trainer Joel Berndt wins at a 29% after a layoff of that length.
Wildcat Moon raced well here last summer winning three races including a $16,000 claiming race. He has not raced as well since then, finishing 5th in a lower price race last time at Turf Paradise. He was claimed by Patrick Fields, a trainer that has won two of five starts after the claim and a 24% winner on the year. I am hoping that the new connections gets this one back on track.
Purimeter will be making his fourth start of the year. He won a $30,000 claiming race at Keeneland in April as well as at Churchill Downs back in November. He will be dropping in price here and if Smoltz gets contested on the lead, I would expect Purimeter to be able to close on him in the stretch.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #5 Smoltz
2nd Place:
#6 Wildcat Moon
3rd Place:
#1 Purimeter
Suggested Wagers:
$2 Exacta ($4 total)
5/1, 6

50-cent Pick 3 ($4.50 total)
5/1, 3, 4/3, 7, 11
 
Race 5:
Half Dome Dude has won two of four races since being claimed five starts back by Robertino Diodoro at Los Alamitos. He won a $6,250 claiming race at Oaklawn Park in March and was a winner at Prairie Meadows in a $7,500 starter allowance race last time as the heavy favorite. I would expect him to sit just off of the pace of World Famous Sam T and should be first one to pass the leader.
World Famous Sam T has won five of his last seven starts including a $5,000 starter allowance race two starts back at Fonner Park and an allowance race here last September. He will be tough to catch if he can get a clear lead but if any other horse can pressure him early in the race then it would help my top choice Half Dome Dude.
Leroidessioux has won three of his last four starts including a $12,500 claiming race at Hawthorne last time and two $5,000 claiming races this past winter at Fair Grounds. His closing style would benefit greatly if World Famous Sam T can get pressured on the lead but if that is not the case, he should be classy enough to be competitive and finish in the money.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #1 Half Dome Dude
2nd Place:
#3 World Famous Sam T
3rd Place:
#4 Leroidessioux
Suggested Wagers:
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
1, 3, 4

$1 Trifecta Box ($6 total)
1, 3, 4
 
Race 6:
Blackhawk’s Sis finished runner-up in her only career start, a maiden allowance race against Minnesota-breds last August. That was on the main track and she will be racing a bit longer and moving to the turf for this start. She will be difficult to beat if she can bring that 2-year-old form to her 3-year-old debut here.
One Won Eleven has not raced since July 2014. In each of her starts she has improved including finishing a career best runner-up on the turf at this distance in a $30,000 maiden claiming race. The long layoff is a concern but at 12-1 on the morning line may be worth taking a strong look at.
Blazing Angel was the odds on choice in his first start of this year on May 21 in a Minnesota-bred $50,000 maiden claiming race.  He finished fourth in that spot but that was going six furlongs on the main track. His best career efforts have been going longer including a career best third here last summer. This is one that should improve returning to a preferred surface and making her second start of the year.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #11 Blackhawk’s Sis
2nd Place:
#7 One Won Eleven
3rd Place:
#3 Blazing Angel
Suggested Wagers:
$5 Place
7

$2 Exacta ($4 total)
11/3, 7
Race 7:
American Sailor was claimed for $30,000 four starts back by Joe Sharp and immediately paid dividends as he won a $50,000 stakes at Sam Houston. They thought highly of him to move him up to graded stakes class but did not race nearly as well. This looks to be a much better spot for him to return to the winner’s circle.
El Seventyseven was triumphant in last year’s running of the Honor the Hero Stakes. He has not won since that, but did finish third in his final start of 2015, a Pennsylvania-bred turf stakes at Parx. His only start this year was at Fair Grounds in the Colonel Power Stakes, but it was moved from the turf to the main track and he did not respond well to that when he finished sixth. I would expect him to be much better in this start on the turf and did post a bullet workout at Arlington on May 7.
Dog Soldier moved over to the Bernell Rhone barn and it has made a clear difference since the barn switch as he has won two of four starts including an allowance race last time on the main track at Tampa Bay Downs. If his form holds true today, he could be competitive here but he does lack a quality turf start.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #1 American Sailor
2nd Place:
#6 El Seventyseven
3rd Place:
#5 Dog Soldier
Suggested Wagers:
$2 Win, Place ($4 total)
1

$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
1, 5, 6
Race 8:
Queen Sammy improved after finishing 5th in her debut. She would finish runner-up in her next two starts including by only half length in her latest start as the favorite. The winner of her debut race was Honeys Sox Appeal, who has already won an allowance race at this meet.
Your Last Warning also has raced consistently well since her debut finishing runner-up in back-to-back starts. She has been favored in each of her first three career starts and I would not be surprised to see her as the favorite in this start. 
Somerset Bing will now move over to the Bernell Rhone barn after spending last summer under the guidance of Larry Donlin. Considering she was off for almost three years of her career, she raced very well last summer including finishing a career best second in a maiden allowance race. She has finished third in each of her last three starts including behind Your Last Warning the last time she was in a maiden allowance race.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #5 Queen Sammy
2nd Place:
#1 Your Last Warning
3rd Place:
#4 Somerset Bing
Suggested Wagers:
$2 Win, Place ($4 total)
5

$2 Exacta ($4 total)
5/1, 4
Race 9:
Visitation makes his first start since moving to the Robertino Diodoro barn, a 23% winner after the barn switch. He has been racing in starter allowance races in Southern California. He best starter allowance finish was third three starts back February 4 on the turf at Santa Anita and I would expect him to improve dropping down for a price and switching to one of the top barns at the meet.
Schindlers Risk raced on May 22 in a non-winners of three lifetime at this same claiming price. He finished a respectable 4th considering he was facing those with two wins while he only has the lone victory. This race will be a better spot for him facing others that have only one career win.
Trill Point was claimed for $15,000 two starts back and immediately showed improvement in his next start finishing third as a longshot. Although this will be his first career attempt on the turf, the new connections seem to have found what this horse needs to race better and would expect the trend upward to continue here.
Race Selections:
1st Place: #1 Visitation
2nd Place:
#7 Schindlers Risk
3rd Place:
#2 Trill Point
Suggested Wagers:
$2 Win, Place ($4 total)
1

$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
1, 2, 7