Saturday, September 12th
By Angela Hermann
#2 Orfan Ole
#4 Patience Unleashed
#6 Regal Rival
$.50 Pick Four ($30 total)
$1 Daily Double ($6 total)
Closing Day has arrived. It’s going to be an eventful day and one with great racing action of all kinds – Maidens are only offered in the early double of the day and the Minnesota sprinters will go in the gate to start us off. As long as this isn’t your first time at the track you’ve probably seen at least one of these dudes before….and believe it or not, one of them has to win this afternoon….
Orfan Ole has cases for him and against him, but the same can be said for all seven and at least he gets to try this softer company. Nearly everyone else has sampled the competition at some point and the fact that they’re still maidens speaks volumes…..this guy was in for a tag a long time ago but he looks like he’s a better horse now and probably one that could’ve won one of those cheapies in his past.
The only time that Patience Unleashed kept this sort of company he finished a hard-trying second. The figure was paltry despite his efforts so maybe that was just a “Someone had to finish second” type of field but Bethke did enter two…..No one seems to want to stay aboard this runner for more than one race but maybe Velazquez will fit him better than the others.
Regal Rival hasn’t been asked to sprint since the first start of his year but hey, that was only his first start and it was against straight maidens. He doesn’t really seem to have much of a big boost when asked by his pilot to get going, but all he may need in this bunch is the endurance to keep grinding it out down the lane as the rest tire.
#3 Follow the Dream
#2 Reigning Warrior
#10 Baama Care
$1 Pick Three ($16 Total)
$.50 Trifecta Box ($12 total)
Juvenile turf racing just splashed on the scene recently and a lot from the race on August 28th return to make one more attempt at it before the season is over. A trio hit the top of the stretch together and didn’t finish far apart….start with those three and work your way around with shippers and sprinters….
Follow the Dream made an ambitious debut that day on the grass but in retrospect it looks like that spot was a great idea; the horse got some education running inside of others and continuing on despite adversity. Leading jockey Goncalves looks to maintain his advantage and takes over this one for his second start….and a good chunk of those wins have come with crafty rides over our grass.
Different Scherers saddle many in the second race but Gary’s Reigning Warrior tries open company for a second time as well as grass. He was a little more green in the stretch than the top choice but was running on just as well at the end despite settling for fourth; Rosemary Homeister is in to take the call and Scherer is very good stretching his youngsters out for a second time.
Richie Scherer will try to beat Gary with Baama Care, and your morning line favorite has the experience on turf on his side. Both closing efforts he’s turned in have been on said surface while only one has come going long; neither was particularly threatening and the ten hole does not add appeal to a horse that surely won’t provide value on the tote board.
#2 Mr. Obeso
#8 Crowned Warrior
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
$.50 Trifecta ($13.50 total)
If the third race stays intact, over half this field will enter off around a weeks’ rest. That’s not uncommon at the end of the meet, but it can give a distinct advantage to runners with a little more rest behind them….even a stunner of a race a week ago can take something out of a horse and leave them vulnerable at a short price today.
With that tactic in mind, Beauziggity looks like a fair play at 6/1. This race falls right in line with his last one—a victory—and he stays at a level that’s made him competitive. Yes, he needs speed but that is abundant in here on paper…..the inside drawn two dueled last time and those sorts of splits would push things into this runner’s lap.
The duel mentioned above should involve speedy gray Mr. Obeso, but he’s very willing to duke it out all the way to the line. Much like ‘Beau in the competition department, he doesn’t seem to mind a fight on the front end as long as it’s against these $6,250 claimers. This short rest tactic has worked in the past for the barn but this horse ran his guts out a week ago…..can he do it again?
That runner’s been saddled quite frequently at this meet, while Crowned Warrior has run just once for the Keen stable. His two wins have come while playing keep-away on the front end, but surely things will be intense up front and make him go faster than he’d like to early. He may have the back class to run these into the ground, but the lengthy rest and tired finish in May indicate that isn’t the case.
#8 P J’s Angel
#5 Brooke Academy
#3 Docs Miss Victory
$.50 Pick Four ($48 total)
$.10 Superfecta ($9.60 total)
Last call for Minnesotans! Our last statebred-restricted race is a doozy…..a lot of these fillies broke their maidens this summer and got stuck finding a good spot to find a second. Some have tried going long, some have tried turf, and some have just been locking horns against too tough of customers….but this will most likely be their best chance for the rest of 2015 to get that second ‘W’ for this high of a price tag or purse.
As a result, it’s no surprise to find P J’s Angel as one of two representatives from her barn trying to nab the victory in the fourth. She’s been the better of the pair in her career; the maiden win looked sort of easy on the turf three back but then it was off to stakes company and a deep Festival of Champions race on turf. Well, she just isn’t the best of her ilk on either surface but she should be fast enough to beat these and some of the races on her resume back that notion up nicely.
Brooke Academy has run the least of this field in 2015 and that can be looked at in one of two ways. Of course a big problem could have kept her away from the races from May until July, but the way she returned in her last race makes one think that even if there was a problem it’s been solved. Delorme’s familiar with some others in here but he’d rather team back up with ‘Brooke….
Doc’s Miss Victory gets a new pilot as well. Denny Velazquez is calling it quits on her back for the year but Alex Canchari is going to try her in start 16; a third of the runs she’s put in have resulted in third-place finishes and that’s not out of the question versus these. Passing on the win end but she’ll be a better price than either of the others listed here.
#5 Shesa Sweet Secret
#6 Lilly’s Perfect
#8 Cody’s Cupcake
$.10 Superfecta ($8.40 total)
$1 Exacta Box ($12 total)
Superfecta bettors have loved the turf racing at Canterbury – the payoffs have been monstrous with some creativity. Even if the favorites perform to expectation and take the top spot, a couple of longshots filling out the next few spots have been sending things into space; don’t be afraid to try one in here before we run out of time as it’s a fairly wide-open race.
Likely chalk Shesa Sweet Secret has fired every time she’s touched the grass this summer. Less than a couple of lengths keep her away from perfection over the stuff in her four starts….Brinson claimed her on July 16th and immediately stepped her up in price to win. The pace can unfold how it will, she doesn’t seem to mind…..a horse like that mixed with Goncalves on the turf is nearly impossible to ignore.
Just to her right in the gate is Lilly’s Perfect. This one needed some rest after May of last year but the way she’s returned could put her in the picture at a price here. When the daughter of Pleasantly Perfect gets rolling it’s not an explosive burst; but she does own a couple of wins on grass and gets Canchari to attempt the upset.
David Anderson has quite the history with Cody’s Cupcake. He’s claimed her back a number of times and tried different things with her….lately she’s fallen into life on the turf and it’s yielded her mixed results. Sanchez seems to get along with her and from their outside draw it shouldn’t be too hard to sit in stalking position.
#4 Hollywood Premiere
#7 Hidden Demon
$.50 Trifecta ($13.50 total)
$1 Exacta ($10 total)
Another large field and good betting race assembles in the sixth. Many of these fell to this level later in their season if they’ve tried it before, and another group are trying this bottom-level non-2 lifetime for the very first time. Regardless of their journey here, it’s inevitably a little easier to look the way of those without a giant pile of losses to go with their lone win….
Three-year-old Timetogivein didn’t race until he turned three, but things haven’t gone poorly in his three-race career. That second start was a nice effort considering the horse he ran down was dropping out of both Canterbury and West Coast Maiden Special Weights…..his debut can be excused with his naughty behavior and last time he tried turf. This race in many ways fits him better and a better effort should come forth as a result.
Hollywood Premiere hasn’t won on dirt yet but he’s getting closer. Last time he looked to be making a winning move on the inside but the rail didn’t stay open long enough for him to nab the lead; Willey gets on board today and he may be a little closer throughout with the weight break. He seems to like being closer to the pace and he won’t have as much ground to cover off his last.
Odds are that Hidden Demon will be one of the favorites and should be in the thick of things on the early lead. That “take them all the way” mentality has landed him a win and two seconds in his past three, but there’s no reason to think he’ll run a bad one today and if he stays as consistent as he’s been he’s a must use.
#3 Quiet Man
#9 Mr Vegas
$1 Pick Three ($30 total)
$1 Exacta ($8 total)
Watch for scratches in the seventh race, as this turf race seems to have plenty of early speed drawn in. Any changes could affect if pace runners can get comfortable up front or burn one another out; if all stay in the gate it sure looks like the latter may happen…..not much on paper looks different from the favorite to the longshots so demand a price on your selection.
The Ulwellings and Scherers have their mitts all over this one, so one of them has to win right? Why not a couple? Gary trains Alvear for the Ulwellings and enters him off a dismal sixth in the John Bullit. Ok, so that didn’t work out but what had the horse done on fast dirt prior? Nothing…..perhaps getting him back to his preferred surface and letting him come from the clouds as he used to will cure his ills. He was training out of his skin before that stakes debacle and this may be a better fit.
If that dud was an indication of what kind of horse they own now, their other runner Quiet Man should carry the colors just fine. His races have all been close in the past year on Canterbury grass but he’s been running against the cream; last time he caught his stablemate on a five-race win streak. Goncalves ran second on him earlier in the year when they raced on dirt but turf should be no hindrance.
Mr. Vegas has had a rough year but he’s better than his recent results indicate. He seems to have more speed than the other two mentioned here and those early wheels earned him a 1 ½ length victory over this turf course last summer. This guy is the one that would benefit the most from other speedy runners scratching….the shorter the field the better for him.
#1 Quality Guy
#2 Candy Ruby
$.50 Pick Four ($48 total)
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
It’s quite fitting that the final pick four of 2015 begins with the best two races carded for closing day. The first in the sequence is the H.B.P.A Sprint, a race won last year by Castletown. No one in here has won a stake but one will get their first with a high win-percentage in tow….these guys are tough and make for yet another good betting race.
Jimmy DiVito (along with many others) travels from Chicago and he’ll saddle the favorite Helooksthepart in the Sprint. There’s a multitude of reasons why he should be the favorite but among them is the outstanding record he has when Rosemary Homeister is hired to ride…..they’ve won four of six together…..guess who made the trip?
Quality Guy used to call Chicago home for Joel Berndt. In fact, he is just a head away from being two-for-two in Chicago and a length away from being perfect at Canterbury. That kind of consistency makes him a player in here but this is a class hike for a horse that got just his second win in April. It’s nice to see Berndt pick this spot for him when surely there was another spot he could have found since July…..after all, he knew who he’d be facing.
Last year’s winning owner Mercedes Stable LLC tries their luck again with Candy Ruby, but this fellow’s resume is a little skinny compared to last year’s champ. The figures are fine, the speed is there….but he’s coughed up two straight stretch leads and a field like this leaves little, if any, margin for error.
#5 John’s Luck
#6 Cashel Rock
$1 Exacta Box ($10 total)
$1 Pick Three ($12 total)
The favorite should be much lower in price in the Shakopee Juvenile than the previous stake, but Stormation hasn’t lost yet and deserves every penny that comes his way. This is always a fun battle of the sexes and last year one from each gender ended up winning…..while it’s doubtful that will repeat the owner of the winners last year own Stormation…..
Three-for-three, the son of Stormy Atlantic hasn’t been behind at any call in that short career. Not many have as much or more experience than them and he could very well take the heart out of some others that have designs on getting the front end; there’s nothing exciting about the pick or the price but he’s the one to beat.
John’s Luck has more talent than he’s shown in two starts, but he’s looked a little green in the stretch both times. Goodwin reined him in last time to draw away but this guy gets to gawking at the crowd when he passes by….maybe by this third race he’ll be used to you all and put 100% into his rally. If he does, this could be the main challenge for the favorite from off the pace.
Cashel Rock isn’t impossible to envision upsetting things, and he’s got the most question marks in this third running of the Juvenile. He’s going to attempt dirt racing, racing outside of his home state and most likely coming from off the pace for the first time. The works don’t exactly take your breath away but they’re consistent.
#4 World Famous Sam T
#5 Market Rad
#7 Financial Freedom
$1 Daily Double ($15 total)
$1 Exacta Box ($4 total)
The tenth is the last dirt race of the summer. The former claimers in here are numerous and it’s nice to see their connections want to hang onto them until the next meet they run at; with so many races filling in the last week or two giving them the chance to sell they’re telling you the horses are getting better.
World Famous Sam T left Southern California a year ago and has won six times since. This one doesn’t leave you in suspense – He likes to get right on the engine and take it to them, but he’s shown both speed and guts this summer and will take some beating in this group. The horse that beat him last time hasn’t lost up here all summer and only got up by half a length….this should be your favorite and he is much too sharp to toss out.
Your guess is as good as mine if Market Rad just didn’t like Polytrack or had some other factors play into his off performances at Arlington…..he’s in new settings and back on dirt. He was pretty darn solid when on said surface going short and with his closing style, his first trip around the oval at Canterbury could be pretty sweet.
Hugo Sanchez and Financial Freedom have been knocking at the door, but they got their second place finish against claimers. The cut back to sprints seems to have been working in bringing this guy around off the sour note he left Tampa on; the pilot needs to time things just right to end up victorious in here but check out how many times he’s hit the board in Shakopee without winning…..
#12 Seven Tuff
#11 Twelve Tribes
#1 Barley Twist
$.10 Superfecta Box ($12 total)
$.50 Trifecta ($18 total)
The Swan Song. The end. The Finale. Here it is ladies & gentlemen, the last race of the card, weekend and 2015 race meet. It’s not a Stake, Camel, Zebra, Extreme or Dual-Surface race but we hope you enjoy it just as much as any of those types…..a final wish of good luck! Thank you many times over for your patronage and support throughout, this has been a fantastic season.
On August 29th a very similar race to this one was won by Seven Tuff. The slightest peek of daylight got him through to victory on the inside and his deep-closing style requires those sorts of breaks to be successful; that’s the main knock against him but the outside post won’t help either. His record here is exceptional and the price on just about anyone entered should be fair.
When the field and conditions look similar, why not go for a similar looking exacta? Twelve Tribes got the sort of run he was looking for last time and that run was only good enough for second. He may have needed the race as it was his first since July but it wasn’t a bad effort by any means; the winner showed back up in the next stall though so read into that what you will.
If no one from that heat excites you enough to use them on top, why not try Barley Twist? He’s going for three in a row but the water gets a tiny bit deeper despite the price tag being lower. Goncalves got him into position at just the right time twice in a row but Velazquez will attempt to do the same from the tricky rail draw today; the jock change isn’t any detriment considering the options it looks like Denny had.