independent testing
Promotions Schedule Ticket Information Reserve A Table Dining Options Playing The Horses Our Race Track Become an Owner Racing Stats Race Replays
Horseman Relations
Hall of Fame MVP Rewards Live Racing FAQ's

 

 

 

 

 

 

RACE ANALYSIS

 thursday, september 11.....friday, september 12 .....saturday, september 13 ....Saturday $50k Pick four

 

 

  

 

 
Thursday, September 11th
By Angela Hermann

Race 1

#9 Vanderboom Ridge
#10 Growler
#5 Blue Star Cat
Wagers
$.50 Pick Four ($54 total)
1,5,7,9,10,14/2,4,10/2,5,8/5,8
$1 Daily Double ($9 total)
5,9,10/2,4,10
Quite a different looking weekend of racing is set to begin tonight – Closing weekend is stacked with entries and the first turf race of the night is sure to have a heavy favorite in Growler. Should scratches be numerous, one of the Also-Eligibles should be thrown into the mix. Good luck on the last Buck Night of the season!
Vanderboom Ridge has tried a couple of different approaches to racing so far in his three starts. Sprinting may not work out if his last race is any indication, so he’s back to the grass with Butler taking over the mount. He & Bravo have hit the exacta a good amount of the time on the grass and 15-1 is much too tempting to pass.
Poor Growler is running good races at Canterbury this summer but can’t seem to find the wire in time. Three straight defeats (two as the favorite) have all been in eerily similar fashion, but at least we know what we’re working with here and that speed can keep him out of trouble in a large pack.
Blue Star Cat has caused some of his own problems this year with his gate antics, but seems to be getting a little more willing to do his job each time for Lori Keith. He drew a little better this time and maybe he, too, can enjoy a closer journey and stay clear of traffic.


Race 2
#4 Natalies Storm
#2 Acarpian
#10 Terice
Wagers
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
2,4,10
$.50 Trifecta ($6 total)
4,5,8,10/2/4,5,8,10
A very familiar field complete the early double on the turf, but will many of the same mares behind Natalies Storm last time let her have the lead again….or will someone take it upon themselves to soften her up? 
Even if some of these come after Natalies Storm on the lead, she’s probably faster or better drawn than any of them. She does have to go further but the way she handled things last time that factor doesn’t seem so worrisome. The price will be nowhere near it was last time, but the result could look similar.
In that spirit, Acarpian may just pick up another second for herself should history keep repeating. Her honest closing efforts just haven’t been quite enough this summer, and a few of the mares that’ve defeated her in the past months are in this race. Her beyers are amazingly consistent though, and they’re usually good enough to crack the board at this level.
Martin Escobar will have a try on Terice this evening for the Canterbury Racing Club, and that’ll make pilot #5 at the meet. After a three race win streak where she seemed to be picking up steam, she was brought to a halt. She didn’t show her usual punch after that layoff but hopefully she gained something from that start and can move forward here.
 

Race 3
#2 Leadin Rusher
#5 Chuckle of the Day
#8 Tra Kela
Wagers
$1 Pick Three ($8 total)
2,8/5,8/9,12
$.10 Superfecta Box ($12 total)
2,4,5,7,8
My Name’s Mud took a lot of this field in a romp last time out but the speedier fillies in that one locked horns early at one another’s expense. It just doesn’t look like things will be as hot early and that should benefit a couple in particular in this nice betting race.
Leadin Rusher may have got a little tired last time but take the above mentioned filly out of the mix and she was right there with the group at the finish. Her speed may last a little bit longer in this lineup and the 9/2 price is square for a filly that is two for three at the distance.
Chuckle of the Day has run two pretty identical races in Minnesota since arriving here from Chicago. She has run better when she can keep the leader in her sights and she may have an easier time of doing that today….still, there’s already twelve races into her this year and she may only get a piece once again.
Is Tra Kela really worth that much less than she was a year ago? That’s the troublesome question with the one making her first start this year….her last taste of victory was against claimers though and this is maybe just what she needs to start her year off late but with a bang.


Race 4
#5 Orange Thunder
#8 Northern Champ
#12 L G Suprem
Wagers
$1 Exacta ($6 total)
5,8/5,8,9,10
$1 Pick Three ($12 total)
5,8/9,12/2,3,12
The fourth field of the day will need to turn things around to come up with victory in here, and for the most part for these it’s a long time between drinks. Even having a win this year divides the field and leaves a good percentage of the firepower with one barn.
Orange Thunder took the field with open claimers in his last two and the same speedball took this Minnesotan out of his game. The blinkers put on three back helped this one to a wire-to-wire score against non-twos of this denomination, and the pace shouldn’t be nearly as challenging in this heat. 
His stablemate Northern Champ has been holding court against statebreds and has found mostly the same result. His win three back was nice, yes, but he had to wait his turn for it behind others in this field. At least the trip should be cozy just behind OT and if that one gets tired the other Robertson runner is sure to be coming late.
L G Suprem may find this many difficult to pass, but he could at least pick up a few in the lane as he’s known to do against claimers. The calendar’s ticked off nearly a year since his last win but he gets some class relief here and a new jock in Lori Keith. He should be a healthy price.


Race 5
#12 Switchen Er Up
#9 Bells of Concerto
#1 Seachi
Wagers
$.50 Trifecta ($15 total)
9,12/1,9,10,12/1,5,7,8,9,10,12
$1 Exacta ($6 total)
9,12/1,9,10,12
A crackling early pace could unfold halfway through the card and much to their dismay, a lot of the likely combatants in the duel are drawn next to each other. This will be a complete change of scenery for one filly drawn at the opposite end of the gate, and she’ll likely be one of your favorites….
Switchen Er Up is in this spot at 50% off from her last race, and that second to Badge of Glory was earned after a snappy early tempo for her. The outside draw really may end up putting her in a good tactical position and Eikleberry is riding extremely well right now.
There are two approaches to looking at Bells of Concerto. She bounces back and forth between winning figures and not so winning figures. But, she earns those better numbers when she’s at this class. There’s a bit of ground here to make up on SEU but she’s been competitive against this type.
What you see is what you get with Seachi: Speed. She was having troubles hanging on in her Iowa races but a trip to Canterbury seemed to cure her ills last time around. The rail draw suits her perfectly as she typically answers the bell before the rest, but the pressure is inevitable in this particular group.


Race 6
#2 Easy Hit
#3 Unlawful Detainer
#6 Freedom First
 
Wagers
$.50 Pick Four ($24 total)
2,3,12/1,4,12,14/1,5,6,10/3
$1 Exacta ($8 total)
2,3/2,3,5,6,12
If you can afford more in the first leg of the late pick four, buy as many as possible. There’ll be fair prices aplenty in the sixth and the pace scenario is murky with the group of vets assembled. Class is pretty relative with most of them, as those on the drop are not exactly doing so with their best form present.
Easy Hit has been in a little tough for most of the year but drops even lower in search of a fourth lifetime win. Franco should have some speed to run down in front of him and he may not get so far behind this evening. Maybe he’ll get let go on the board (he usually is) and he can spice the payoffs up.
Also getting some necessary relief is Silva runner Unlawful Detainer. His last win came in very similar settings and he took that field by five. If he can somehow shake loose the race could be over very early, but he’s been getting a little leg weary as of late and the late challenges should be coming. 
Freedom First has fit in well against this price range but still has not met up with the photographer in forever. The blinkers seemed to get his attention well enough to get him in the picture late, and the Sprint Championship can be tossed out. Carreno keeps the faith and another slice is likely.


Race 7
#1 Maggie’s Guy
#12 You’re My Buddy
#14 Burning Money
 
Wagers
$.50 Trifecta Box ($12 total)
1,8,12,14
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
1/8,12,14
Lots of price dropping is happening in the seventh but several making that move are doing so off the turf course. Like a lot of the full fields we’ll see all weekend, they’re swamped with speed in this race. At this tag there has been a fair amount of buying, but one of the most popular items is in here….
Maggie’s Guy is back in the barn he started at, and makes the move mentioned above from the turf to the dirt and down in price. He wouldn’t mind a ridiculous speed duel up front and with a little luck could sneak through for his second win over the dirt here. The price is right, at least.
You’re My Buddy finished just in front of Maggies Guy last time but had performed well sprinting over the turf in the past. His lone dirt start at this level was probably enough to make some noise late in the seventh, but the overall dirt record still kind of makes you wish this one was on a different surface.
Burning Money made a decent debut at Canterbury last time with a second behind speedy Bosque Angel. Canchari will have to find a way to scoot in from the fourteen path but at least the horse has the positional speed to probably help that cause. He doesn’t miss the board when he’s for sale, so keep him in mind with exotics. 


Race 8
#1 Leroidessioux
#6 August Day
#5 Flashy Em
 
Wagers
$1 Daily Double ($2 total)
1,6/3
$.10 Superfecta($12 total)
1,6/1,5,6/1,5,6,8,9,10/1,5,6,8,9,10
This could become a rider’s race, as the pace looks fairly balanced and the entire group appears capable of a similar best effort. Even if that means digging far back in a horse’s past, these types can pop up with a big race at any time. 
Alex Canchari appeared to have options in here, and Leroidessioux is the one he lands on. The horse hasn’t run a bad race against these kinds of sellers yet but last time flattened out. He stuck closer to the early leaders that day and may be forced to revert to his previous closing style with the speed entered here.
August Day is one of those faster foes, but he has run two big ones in a row. How many more does the Scherbenske trainee have in him for this season? He broke a long drought two back but seems to like this track quite a bit.   Eikleberry stays with him and they’ll once again factor in.   
Flashy Em was claimed last time and is another with solid efforts in his brief Canterbury career. He was ahead of the top choice last time and can put himself in the race early if need be. Just another number to add to the ticket, he his pretty hard to dismiss.
 
Race 9
#3 To the Stars
#6 Floor Money
#8 Paint the Moon
 
Wagers
$.50 Trifecta ($8 total)
3/6,8/All
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
3/6,7,8
For a field at this price level, they’ve actually had much better years in 2014 than 2013. Many enter this beaten claimer off good races if not winning ones, but that does not help in the prices department. The last looks sort of chalk-friendly but it’s another crowded gate for the finale.
To the Stars was just too much racehorse for the first field of $6,250s he faced, and those aren’t all that much different from these. While faced with a wide journey Escobar had the option of pulling away from that field at any time. That was his first dirt win and his second looks very much within reach.
The Troche barn hires Alex Canchari to ride Floor Money today. The late running son of Tiz Wonderful took a sprint here earlier in the meet but has run well enough in his two routes up here on the main oval to get a share in this spot. The last time he was in this condition it wasn’t so pleasant, but that was sprinting.
His former barnmate Paint the Moon has the speed to be up close early and collected another second last time on the stretchout. Thing is, he’s been hoarding the place checks in this price range and Run It being drawn to his immediate left may not make things easy early on.
Friday, September 12th
By Angela Hermann

Race 1

#4 Lu’s Lalabye
#7 Who’s for Glory
#2 Lady Brighton
Wagers
$.50 Pick Four ($60 total)
4,7,14,15/6,8,10,12/2,8/1,4,7
$1 Daily Double ($6 total)
4,7,15/6,12
A lot of factors depend on scratches: Pace and cost of bets, as a couple of very live entities to kick off Friday racing landed on the outside looking in. Should the 14 or 15 get into this field, use them up top with their pedigrees & past turf races……but as for the rest, best of luck singling one of these!
Lu’s Lalabye has not had an easy go of it as a turf filly. She’s managed to hang on for some money a couple of times but found all sorts of early trouble last time before backing up. Her first two grass races up here have been against Special Weights and the small drop may move her up enough to upset.
Who’s for Glory has already figured out how to beat LL, but she needs to figure out what to do when she gets the lead down the stretch. The finish photo doesn’t usually see her too far behind but it also never features her nose in front – Can Canchari change that? She too, has been in against tougher on the turf and has earned the drop.
Lady Brighton doesn’t have a big pile of excuses for her record, but at least she seemed to be a little more into things with the move to this level last time. She got a pretty good trip that day but made nothing really of it….Butler will take this one over to try and right the ship.


Race 2
#6 Real Power
#12 Macias
#10 Rupansu
Wagers
$.10 Superfecta ($7.20 total)
6,12/6,8,10,12/2,6,8,9,10,12/2,6,8,9,10,12
$1 Exacta ($4 total)
6,12/6,10,12
Though there are a lot of sprinters on the dirt entered in this turf race, will they show the same speed on this different surface? That is always a question in a field this large, but using a mix of closers and speed on this turf course is always recommended in pick four and three plays….it’s another nice betting race.
Real Power was gritty in his initial turf try at Canterbury, and came up victorious by a narrow margin over some others in here. He’ll get to start from a little better spot this time but does get back to a distance that hasn’t exactly been his best in the past. He’s too sharp at the moment to ignore.
Should those fleet of foot on fast dirt not like the sod as much, Macias is a proven front running threat. He gets strapped with an awful post for leading the entire way but could position himself close early from the outside….if he can save a little ground, he wouldn’t need to improve much from his first start up here.
Rupansu has taken quite a liking to the Canterbury turf too, and is competitive at this level. He’s not afraid to move through traffic rather than go around it, and Eikleberry got a chance to get a feel for him last time. There’s nothing wrong with the summer he’s having or his price.
 

Race 3
#2 Cat Trap
#8 Luv Da Skin Shezin
#3 My Funny Gal
Wagers
$.50 Trifecta ($6 total)
2,8/2,3,8/1,2,3,5,8
$1 Pick Three ($18 total)
2,8/1,4,7/1,2,6
Young ladies take things back to the main track for the third and features a few live looking first time starters in among a somewhat paceless group. One of these newbies has got to have some early gas, and one in particular gets the attention with her connections & morning moves…..
Wolochuk doesn’t start out too many babies at Canterbury, but nearly all of them can run. Cat Trap was a purchase as a two year old in training and she went for many times her sire’s stud fee…the breeding here says she could be a very good two year old that gate breeze the other morning may have tipped the hand.
Luv Da Skin Shezin ran quite well in her debut and moves to the outside for her second crack at the racing game; she could own the early lead if none of the FTS show any speed. This isn’t a particularly tough looking bunch of those with experience but she’s probably the best of them.
My Funny Gal has hit the board a couple of times in her career and surely those five starts will help here. On the other hand, sometime recently it must have been decided that this one wasn’t going to work out as a sprinter and she was entered long on the turf. Now back to 5 ½? Hmmmmm.
.


Race 4
#1 Genuine Cowboy
#7 Jackie Blu
#4 Bosque Angel
Wagers
$.50 Trifecta ($5 total)
1/4,7/All
$1 Exacta Box ($8 total)
1/3,4,5,7
Things should be hot and heavy early by comparison to the third in race 4. A good majority of this field should be in the hunt for the early lead, and all in that majority seem capable of cutting equally blistering fractions when in the mood. Someone has to be capable of taking advantage of that….right?
Genuine Cowboy is still good for a lesser condition than these open claimers but stays put at the $10,000 level after a somewhat flat run off the bench last time. He improved the last time he made his second appearance after rest but he’d need close to a lifetime best performance here to snatch victory.
Jackie Blu landed furthest outside of the early firecrackers and hits the exacta more often than not. Eddie Martin teamed with him for a second last time but has a longer trip to navigate today. He doesn’t appear to be the type that will willingly stalk the pace, but from the seven hole EMJ can keep an eye on things pace wise.
The strategy guiding Bosque Angel is right there on paper: Go for broke. He is not a horse with more gears than ‘go’, but it’s worked twice against cheaper for wire to wire victories. There should be several looking him in the eye early but if somehow one of the speedsters can shake loose, it might be this one.


Race 5
#6 Noelle’s Quay
#1 Makinmymark
#2 Baetykaty
Wagers
$.50 Trifecta ($18 total)
1,2,6/1,2,4,6/1,2,3,4,5,6
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
6/1,2,4
The pace looks to be another quick one halfway through the card and a couple of barns send in duos to tackle the fifth. Both have entered live fillies and in fact all four should take a little money, but it’s truly difficult to count anyone out of this optional claimer.
Noelle’s Quay is the only filly for sale but she blitzed this exact condition last time to return to the winners’ circle for the first time in just over a year. She does need help up front but should see it once again, and Canchari has won on her before. Her stablemate is no slouch either, but runs into the rail filly….
Makinmymark took the step from claimers to stakes company beautifully last time and will try a tougher level once again. Her options aren’t plentiful from the inside draw Eikleberry knows how to get the best out of her and with the form she’s in right now they have her to run down.
Interestingly, Baetykaty shows up again going one turn. She’d reeled off five in a row mostly going longer before making the cutback in the Hoist Her Flag, but things didn’t work out at all that day and she faded to last. Maybe she’ll revert to her closing tactics and pick up a piece at a decent number.


Race 6
#8 Our Lucky Son
#3 Castletown
#4 Sneaky Blowout
 
Wagers
$1 Exacta ($6 total)
3,8/3,4,8,9
$.50 Trifecta Box ($12 total)
3,4,8,9
A track record holder, a filly and a horse that broke his maiden two starts ago with a 101 Beyer figure are just a few in the mixed bag entered for the HBPA Sprint. Some of the sharpest sprinters we’ve had the privilege of watching all season are in here, enjoy the show.
Our Lucky Son wins the Most Improved Award this season – What a difference the move to Canterbury has made for him. He’s beaten the speedy Unfolded Magic twice in a row, and that one in turn has knocked out the condition a couple of weeks later.   Franco can sit just off the early pace and go when he’d like….another race like his first two and the rest are in for second.
It’s hard to say such a thing with Castletown a few stalls in, but is this his best game anymore? Yes, he is a short margin from G1 victory at 6 on dirt, but that was 2012 and his two best races up here have been at 5 on turf. Maybe he didn’t like the track in the Dark Star, but that doesn’t explain last time.
Sneaky Blowout is a quality, versatile horse but this may not be his optimal distance either. In this humble opinion, 6 ½ or 7 benefits this one more than six but with the pace projected to be at least honest he stands a good chance to get another check. He certainly likes Canterbury’s dirt.


Race 7
#2 Betty’s Best
#5 Racing Rae
#7 Yes It’s Wild
 
Wagers
$.50 Pick Four ($24 total)
2,3,5,7/4,6/4,7/2,3,6
$.50 Trifecta Box ($12 total)
2,3,5,7
Another group of two year old fillies will race on Friday night, but this group doesn’t have quite the experience quotient as the ones earlier. The Minnesotans exit a few common races and this doesn’t look like a great spot for a huge upset, despite the large field size.
Betty’s Best, as it turns out, debuted against the winner of the Northern Lights Debutante. She hasn’t had entirely smooth journeys either in her three race career, but has learned bit by bit through each of them. Martinez rejoins her for her fourth start and she’s the one they have to beat.
Racing Rae took money in her debut and lived up to the billing with a good second behind eventual runner up in the Debutante Castle Queen. That one had a race on RR and added blinkers but the experience had to be good for the Miller trainee….she may get the early advantage and is another must-use.
The pedigree on Yes It’s Wild says run early, and she debuts for a barn that can have them ready to fire right out of the box. There’s lots of gate work here but hopefully she’s got that thing mastered by now….Butler wouldn’t sign up to ride her if she hadn’t shown anything in the morning.


Race 8
#6 Stellabrini
#4 Naomi Ridge Esq.
#8 Holy White Socks
 
Wagers
$.10 Superfecta ($9.60 total)
4,6/4,6,8,10/4,6,8,10/All
$1 Exacta ($9 total)
4,6,8/4,6,8,9
The Minnesotan three year old fillies have established that they’re a group to be reckoned with. A few show up to tackle their elders in this statebred allowance but there’s a good amount of mares also rising from the claiming ranks to join them. This isn’t your typical MN-bred race.
Stellabrini didn’t bring much heat in her first go around at this level a few weeks ago but Eikleberry gets back on the Donlin trainee and the two got along quite well before. This one should appreciate the extra half furlong tacked on today and the price should be at least fair.
Naomi Ridge Esq. rises to the occasion each time, and even if she’s not usually this type of filly she’s been steady enough to factor in. She broke her maiden earlier in the year sprinting but didn’t earn a mind-blowing figure doing so; ‘Naomi is probably better now than she was then though. 
Should that one want the front, she’ll have to go through Holy White Socks. She doesn’t do “restraint” but her speed’s carried her to two wins this year. Hernandez will re-assume riding duties in this corner and she’d be no surprise to hang on for a big piece of the pie.
 
Race 9
#4 Cherryful Lady
#7 Red Headed Woman
#5 Rome
 
Wagers
$1 Daily Double ($6 total)
4,7/2,3,6
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
4,5,7
It’s quite frankly hard to take a solid stance behind any of the distaffers in the first half of the late double, but their unreliable nature should lead to an even odds board. Leave a little wiggle room if playing vertical wagers to add in anyone that looks particularly good in the paddock or on track.
Two enter from the Holder stable and the one going a little better at the moment looks like Cherryful Lady. It looks as though Patrick Canchari had some decisions to make in here and ends up staying aboard her. She’s been going the right direction as of late and could catch them all this time.
It makes sense to support Red Headed Woman from a pace standpoint, but then you look at her lifetime standing at Canterbury. For a mare that knows how to win, that’s an alarming donut and after a few starts together Carreno has not got her any closer than a few lengths to the winner. 
Rome figures to have to battle for the lead, and that could be the undoing for everyone up front. She doesn’t need the lead outright, but the courage quotient seems to climb when she’s in front at the top of the lane. That looks like a tall order with Platinum Rules to her outside so she’s selected third.
 
Race 10
#6 Laope
#3 Bourbon King
#2 Rainier Missile
 
Wagers
$.50 Trifecta ($6 total)
3,6/2,3,6/1,2,3,5,6
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
6/2,3,5
Speaking of speed, how about that last race? Lots of these find their career success leading fields the entire way, but something has to give in this loaded group. There’s only one true closer in this spot and he’s not in the best form at the moment – Who can survive the early heat?
Blinkers have made Laope into even more of a gate rocket, and he’s cleared two fields in a row early. The first one caught him and the second watched him run away by 8, but that first condition was the same as today. Franco and he will be hoping for many shaky beginnings from the others, but he could be the speed of the speed.
Bourbon King has won two of his last four against this type of competition in Iowa and made a nice first appearance on our main oval. Those open claimers were a nice group and should he and Eddie Martin stay in close enough range he could swoop by. He’s a big threat at a likely much better mutuel.
Rainier Missile had to drop to this level to come back to the circle but did so in resurgent fashion on the inside part of the track. He was impressive that day and that was the first time Hernandez rode him…can they repeat as the morning line favorite? Betting against it, but betting he’ll be in the picture.
 
 
Saturday, September 13th
By Angela Hermann

Race 1

#2 Riley Rocks
#5 Outdated
#9 Pea Shooter Pro
Wagers
$.50 Pick Four ($48 total)
1,2,5,9/1,7/1,13/2,3,7,8,11,12
$.50 Trifecta Box ($12 total)
1,2,5,9
Closing Day has arrived. It’s going to be an eventful day and one with great racing action of all kinds – The two year olds are lacking experience in the first race of the day but should this race not interest you there are eleven more afterwards. Enjoy the final day of live at Canterbury! 
Ingrid Mason has a two year old with some speedy works behind him and if Riley Rocks makes the trip to Minnesota he looks like he could be live right away in his career. He’s needed some breaks in the morning action but it’s been zippy when he makes it to the track and Martinez wants to ride him.
Another newcomer to the action looks like he has some speed too, and Outdated’s been preparing locally for his first start. Carreno rides this one after piloting his stablemate on the outside to a place finish last time out…the blood’s here to be a good two year old as well. Should these two not debut well….
Pea Shooter Pro didn’t show exceptional early speed in his first outing last time but passed like a professional in the late stages to nab second. The winner had experience on him that day but today that edge becomes his sword instead; if speedy-crazy youngsters beat each other up he should whoosh by.


Race 2
#1 Mad Genius
#7 Major Marvel
#5 Samendra
Wagers
$.10 Superfecta ($3 Total)
1,7/1,7/2,5,6/All
$1 Pick Three ($16 total)
1,3/1,13/2,7,11,12
Several on the downtick take the second half of the early double 1 mile and seventy yards. Several do their best work tugging fields along on the front end but they can’t all have their way…if the speed doesn’t hold up there are a couple of capable closers in their midst. 
Mad Genius didn’t take to the track instantly at Canterbury but it didn’t take him long to get the hang of things in Shakopee. He’s now a nose away from winning three in a row, and that horse came back to win since. He and Nik Goodwin can save ground from their draw and won’t have the leaders too far out of their sights at any point.   
Major Magic may be the pacesetter if Bonita Rock doesn’t get a quick start, but this is a lot of races in a short period of time. He managed to hang on in his first try over an off track two back but the turf return last time was a dud. Off that kind of race, does he improve again or regress further?
Samendra just keeps plugging away at the non-winners of the year level but takes on these open types for the same price. He doesn’t usually get unsaddled without earning a check and Butler’s been on board for many of his better days. Winning may not work out today but another piece is within reach.
 

Race 3
#13 Tahkodha Red
#1 Jewel’s Honor
#3 Melissa’s Shadow
Wagers
$.50 Trifecta ($15 total)
1,13/1,3,10,13/1,3,4,6,9,10,13
$1 Pick Three ($24 total)
1,13/2,7,11,12/2,6,11
The girls in this maiden claimer are almost all familiar with the level, even if they haven’t been around lately. It’s last chance to dance for the local girls looking to stay in restricted competition for their first win so a few drop back to this easier level in search of a victory.
Tahkodha Red nearly got there earlier in the year before moving up the ladder to Special Weights unsuccessfully. She managed to get third last time but she wasn’t threatening the winner, and with another few jumps she would have got the winner of her first race of the year. Hold her off to score.
Jewel’s Honor gets ones more chance off a non-effort in her first drop into these types. She was in blinkers for the first time that day and they are removed today along with Seth Martinez. If Canchari can get her back to one of her races earlier this summer she could show renewed promise.
Melissa’s Shadow is speedy but doesn’t always show it. If she does today she’ll take some money and probably a piece of things, but she has to go a bit further in this afternoon’s assignment. Eikleberry still got her to run better than anyone else ever had last time and sticks in the saddle for Van Winkle.


Race 4
#11 Twelve Tribes
#12 Demi Blue
#2 Fiddler Blue
Wagers
$1 Exacta Box ($10 total)
11/2,3,7,8,12
$.50 Trifecta ($10 total)
11/2,3,7,8,12/2,3,7,8,12
The fourth may not be the turf race to find an evenly matched board – Only two of these non2 Lifetimes on the grass own a win over it, and we’ve seen what a lot of them have to offer at this level. Finding a bomb is definitely possible, but it may mean not standing behind that fella on firm ground.
Twelve Tribes is not hard to like if they stay on the turf, but should things get washed off stay away. He’s shown the difference he has in preference for surface but didn’t run all that bad in his prior trip to Chicago. On this course he made a nice move up the inside to capture his maiden, and that race is a big threat in this spot.
Demi Blue doesn’t have all that much experience period, but the first start he had over turf was acceptable. He showed good closing ability but wasn’t a match for A P Is Loose & Two Chance, who’d been trading jabs prior over the grass. He could surprise from a tricky post with a little luck.
Speaking of luck, Fiddler Blue’s rail riding luck ran out last time out with a wide trip. He may have some of the best turf numbers but they’ve been earned against better; he’s lost as the favorite twice in a row now and that’s enough to keep him underneath. His lack of speed doesn’t help things along either…   
 


Race 5
#2 Keith’s Legacy
#6 Rocknlikahurricane
#10 Chris Mars
Wagers
$.50 Pick Four ($20 total)
2,5,6,9,11/1,12/1,4/8,10
$.10 Superfecta Box ($12 total)
2,5,6,9,11
More juveniles contest the first leg of the pick four, but this group was all bred in Minnesota. Most exit one of two key races, but the Northern Lights Futurity and a maiden run two weeks earlier were won by the same horse. The figs came up close for both, so the favorites should emerge from both. Who is set to improve just before midnight?
Maybe this isn’t the race for an upset, but if it’s to happen it could be Keith’s Legacy pulling it off. He actually made a decent little rally in his first start but couldn’t maintain it behind a couple in this field. His second start will certainly show what he learned from that day and the price should be just fine.
Rocknlikahurricane is the one to run down but last time the winner did just that when the firster got a little leg-weary in the lane. At least the distance stays the same and Canchari remains aboard for the Robertson barn – Their two year olds have been lethal all year and this one looks very live in start #2.
Chris Mars made an ambitious debut in the Northern Lights Futurity. He did tire in the lane behind the runaway exacta but still held on when well behind for third. His early move between horses showed his tractability and that may come in handy with this larger bunch.


Race 6
#1 Appeals the Deal
#12 Acaffella
#6 Royal Import
 
Wagers
$.50 Trifecta ($12.50 total)
1,12/2,6,11,12/2,6,8,11,12
$1 Exacta Box ($8 total)
1/2,6,11,12
This 6 ½ furlong distance has really only been a friend to a few in the past but the lack of true early speed is more concerning in the sixth. Someone’s hard luck will be reversed at this point in the card but with the race shape looking the way that it does don’t be surprise to see one wire the field….
When that’s the game, Appeals the Deal likes to play. He has been faced with faster paces than he’d like to set in this starts this year, and that’s been his undoing the whole time. It’s not like his speed hasn’t served him well in the past, but when faced with pressure or a distance he just can’t hold up. He could very well get comfortable today and under Eikleberry, that’s the rest of them asking for trouble. 
Ray Tracy really wanted to keep Acaffella in his barn this summer, and he had to claim him twice in order to do so. The horse has picked up two wins this year against a little pricier but also did so going two turns. He just hasn’t sprinted in long enough to gamble on top but he makes sense in this spot.
He may not be in the best form of his entire life, but Royal Import at least gets less ground to cover in his eighth start of the year. He’s been drifting up on the board each time that he runs as well, so perhaps he’ll slip away once again and remember to run now that he gets one turn to deal with.


Race 7
#1 Hollywood Hottie
#4 Wonder About Lola
#8 Wyo Girl
 
Wagers
$1 Exacta Box ($4 total)
1/4,8
$1 Pick Three ($18 total)
1,4/6,8,10/1,5,10
In opposite fashion from the sixth, the seventh looks loaded with speedy fillies that have their hearts set on the early lead. There are some sprinters stretching out that could show a bit more too, but at this level who’s to be counted on to do anything exactly right the first time?
Hollywood Hottie took a lot of short races under her belt earlier in the year, but seemed like a new filly when given more ground to cover. She didn’t clobber anybody expensive in Iowa but seemed to hang well with this type on grass up here….throw out her last after a bad start and she looks to be in good position.
Wonder About Lola will get your wagering dollar at some point or another if she hasn’t already, but she’s still one for seven. It’s not that she can’t win this (she can), but for the price she’s probably going to be why not take a small shot against her if you get the right price? Her speed is an asset and can keep her in the thick of things early, but it’s her late that supporters have to worry about.
Wyo Girl has registered two of her better races sitting in third and pouncing on the early leaders, and that tactic may very well work out again here given her post draw in the gate. There are some ancestors in her blood that could give her the stamina for this trip, but she’d have to call on them pretty fast.


Race 8
#10 Quick Cielo
#8 Giacomo Strap
#6 Tuff Grit
 
Wagers
$.50 Trifecta ($6 total)
10/4,6,8,9/4,6,8,9
$1 Exacta Box ($6 total)
6,8,10
Several seeking their second win in wire to wire fashion will end the middle pick four of the day, and the bottom sellers have taken a while for the most part to get their first taste of victory. Pace should again play a factor into this, as many signed on should shoot to the lead.
Quick Cielo’s been sitting on the shelf for a while but gets the dust off just in time for closing day. His stablemate Wheeler Gorge has more speed than he probably does, but this horse likes to be in contact with the leaders. His last race at Santa Anita was forgettable but any of the others would win this….he sure looks fit enough.
Giacomo Strap probably went a lot further than he’d prefer to go last time around but gets a furlong lopped off his asking distance today. His speed is not need-the-lead type, but he fits in well at this price range. He was not afraid to fight on the inside last time and shifts to the outside for a shot at an upset. 
Tuff Grit would probably be fine if things completely fell apart up front, but that may not happen fast enough at 5 ½ furlongs. The Minnesotan’s made fine closes in his last two at the level, though the start two back was against fellow statebreds. The pace is still there as are the figs, and this barn cannot be dismissed in the race for the title.
 
Race 9
#5 Hero On Saturday
#1 Native American
#10 Grand Full Moon
 
Wagers
$.50 Pick Four ($40 total)
1,4,5,7,10/5,6,8,11/3,7/2,7
$.10 Superfecta Box ($12 total)
1,4,5,7,10
The Shakopee Juvenile is the third of the three baby races on the day, and it’s by far the most contentious to start off our .50 pick fours. This presents an interesting Battle of the Sexes, for at this point the fillies have run a bit quicker and got the best of their male counterparts….but they’re catching up fast.
Still, at this point Hero On Saturday is the one to beat and she looks to trump boys for a second straight time. Both of her margins of victory have been scant at just a neck, but it’s the way she’s earned them that really makes her attractive to dollars. Martinez was on for that last win and should get another good trip.
Native American’s options are limited from her inside draw, but both she and stablemate Grand Full Moon have their pros and cons to the posts. The filly has blazing speed and can use the rail to scoot away from some to her right, but she’s been off for a while and this is new competition and distance.
Grand Full Moon got things together in his second start and learned to run away from competition with his new blinkers. The outside post should help with that strategy should Franco choose to employ it, but he wheels back on much shorter rest than most and it could cost him in here. 
 
Race 10
#6 Long on Value
#5 Argyle Cut
#11 Afortable
 
Wagers
$1 Pick Three ($24 total)
5,6,8,11/2,3,4/2,7
$.10 Superfecta Box ($12 total)
1,3,4,6,7
The Marquee race of the summer is the Mystic Lake Derby, and after many long months of waiting the big race has arrived. A field of twelve go for $200,000 in purse money and a few graded stakes contenders have thrown their hats in the ring for this prize – It’s a great betting race, so save a little of your budget for the 10th.
The Arlington Classic sees its second & third place finishers show up for the Derby, and Long on Value brings another Graded Stakes performance in with him. Yes, he hasn’t won since last July but the competition along the way has been fierce; the trouble has also been a factor and he can make major impact with a clean run in here.
On another coast but a similar year so far, Argyle Cut has at least won this year. There are a lot of seconds behind good horses including Glen Hill runner Enterprising, but his deep closing style usually gets going quicker with the shorter fields he’s used to out west. He has the quality and the late wheels, but Franco will need to time things just right to pose for pictures.
Liking LOV merits giving a small chance to Block runner Afortable. He hasn’t quite been up to snuff in the numbers department but his versatility shone last time around on the main track at Arlington, and maybe that newfound front running ability will serve him to turn the tables. No one’s better at bringing home a closer better than Shorty Perez though, and he makes the trip to ride.
 
Race 11
#4 Borealis Way
#3 Duke of Del Ray
#2 Sheer Trick
 
Wagers
$1 Daily Double ($8 total)
2,3,4,9/2,7
$.50 Trifecta Box ($12 total)
2,3,4,9
The turf course will be in use for the last couple of races on the card to follow up the Mystic Lake Derby, and the 11th will reintroduce a lot of them. Many spent their last races off the turf but should rebound and do so at a price in this optional claimer.
Borealis Way had better bounce back bigtime on the grass, or he’s not going to beat many home. He has shown good speed this season on our turf and doesn’t usually put in two bad ones in a row. Eddie Martin stays aboard off that dastardly effort and that alone should inspire at least a little confidence.
Duke of Del Ray finishes second a lot, but usually has a good bit of bad luck to help him in that department. He registered a big finishing win a few back at this level, but hasn’t run back to it. He’s another that doesn’t usually line up off efforts though, so if the connections say he belongs here he probably does.
Brinson has two in this grass race but Sheer Trick seems to be going a little better against a little better right now. One must go back to March to find a time he didn’t at least hit the board, and his turf record’s improved this year at the age of five. He’s pretty dependent on pace and it’s a question in here…don’t accept too short of a number.
 
Race 12
#2 Rare Courage
#7 Grizzled Robert
#6 Hurricane Houston
 
Wagers
$.50 Trifecta ($6 total)
2,7/2,6,7/2,6,7,8,11
$1 Exacta Box ($2 total)
2,7
The last race of the year is traditionally called by both the announcer and the analyst. Why? It’s a looooong turf race and it’s the only proper way to say goodbye! This one has a couple of live combatants from the leading barns…..even if it doesn’t come to this why shouldn’t the thought of a battle to the end be mentioned?
Rare Courage has been putting on a lot of miles lately but he’s been doing so at Canterbury. The turf or main tracks agree with him equally but the distance will be the real question, as it will be with most. He’s still been looking like a horse that could handle more ground at the end of his races and his tactical speed may give him a lot less to do down the lane than others.
The same can be said about Grizzled Robert from team Mac. He used his speed to crawl along in a duo up front before just getting nabbed at the wire, and has proven that he can run all day. Last year he had the benefit of a race before this one, but this year he’ll run straight off the van. Hmmmmm…
Hurricane Houston is in old hands after switching for a brief period this summer. Bryan Porter knows how to get this one going and he claimed him last time most likely with this marathon in mind. The horse has a very long fuse and can get close…but he tends to find trouble and any misfortune in this race could spell defeat.